LOAR trades 35.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $83.33.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes LOAR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 45.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 3 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $83.33, based on estimates from 3 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $61.72, this represents a potential upside of +35.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.78B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $80.00 to a high of $88.00, representing a 10% spread in expectations. The median target of $82.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, LOAR trades at a trailing P/E of 82.3x and forward P/E of 45.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +92.5% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $22.01, with bear and bull scenarios of $13.87 and $29.00 respectively. Model confidence stands at 58/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TDGTransDigm Group Incorporated | $61.0B | $1090.38 | $1457.00 | +33.6% | Hold | 26.5x | 39 |
 CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation | $20.2B | $545.64 | $791.67 | +45.1% | Buy | 35.6x | 25 |
 DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc. | $9.8B | $36.80 | $52.50 | +42.7% | Buy | 26.7x | 9 |
 WWDWoodward, Inc. | $19.8B | $331.62 | $422.00 | +27.3% | Buy | 35.0x | 21 |
 KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | $8.1B | $43.07 | $95.31 | +121.3% | Buy | 51.7x | 25 |
 HXLHexcel Corporation | $6.5B | $86.41 | $111.29 | +28.8% | Hold | 36.0x | 36 |
 VSECVSE Corporation | $4.7B | $167.28 | $265.00 | +58.4% | Buy | 24.6x | 12 |
 HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc. | $2.7B | $12.40 | $15.75 | +27.0% | Hold | 14.3x | 10 |
 BAThe Boeing Company | $153.0B | $193.56 | $273.13 | +41.1% | Buy | — | 55 |
 RTXRTX Corporation | $248.9B | $184.68 | $237.60 | +28.7% | Buy | 25.5x | 26 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LOAR stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for LOAR is $83.33, representing 35.0% upside from the current price of $61.72. With 3 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
LOAR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 3 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 2 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $83.33 implies 35.0% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 45.0445x, LOAR trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $83.33 (35.0% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $88 for LOAR, while the most conservative target is $80. The consensus of $83.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $29 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
LOAR is lightly followed, with 3 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month LOAR stock forecast based on 3 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $83.33, with estimates ranging from $80 (bear case) to $88 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $22, with bear/bull scenarios of $14/$29.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates LOAR's fair value at $22 (base case), with a bear case of $14 and bull case of $29. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 58/100.
LOAR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 45.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 82.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on LOAR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $83.33 price target (35.0% upside). 2 of 3 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
LOAR analyst price targets range from $80 to $88, a 10% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $83.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $14-$29 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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