Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 37 analysts6.9% Below Target
MAA trades 6.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $141.62.
Current Price$132.50
Average Target$141.62
Target
Current
Low$129.00
Median$139.00
High$158.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E38.9x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio3.37
(Expensive)
Implied Growth-1.1%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread20.5%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes MAA achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 38.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 37 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
MAA Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $141.62, based on estimates from 37 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $132.50, this represents a potential upside of +6.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $15.42B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $129.00 to a high of $158.00, representing a 20% spread in expectations. The median target of $139.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 18 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,17 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, MAA trades at a trailing P/E of 35.1x and forward P/E of 38.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 3.37 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow -1.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $92.87, with bear and bull scenarios of $58.51 and $122.36 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+15.3%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
47.1x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 EQREquity Residential | $24.0B | $64.09 | $70.82 | +10.5% | Hold | 43.4x | 46 |
 AVBAvalonBay Communities, Inc. | $24.7B | $177.32 | $194.17 | +9.5% | Hold | 30.2x | 42 |
 CPTCamden Property Trust | $11.4B | $108.99 | $111.89 | +2.7% | Hold | 66.6x | 41 |
 UDRUDR, Inc. | $12.2B | $37.56 | $39.50 | +5.2% | Buy | 45.1x | 38 |
 ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc. | $17.6B | $273.71 | $289.92 | +5.9% | Hold | 46.5x | 46 |
 NHINational Health Investors, Inc. | $3.4B | $70.82 | $83.40 | +17.8% | Hold | 19.9x | 18 |
 IRTIndependence Realty Trust, Inc. | $3.7B | $15.82 | $19.50 | +23.3% | Buy | 108.2x | 27 |
 NXRTNexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. | $684M | $26.97 | $27.00 | +0.1% | Hold | — | 10 |
 BRTBRT Apartments Corp. | $280M | $14.89 | $21.00 | +41.0% | Buy | — | 5 |
 CBRECBRE Group, Inc. | $38.6B | $131.55 | $180.50 | +37.2% | Buy | 17.0x | 20 |
MAA — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MAA stock.
What is the MAA stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for MAA is $141.62, close to the current price of $132.5 (6.9% implied move). Based on 37 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is MAA a buy, sell, or hold?
MAA has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 37 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 17 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $141.62 implies 6.9% upside from current levels.
Is MAA stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 38.8574x, MAA trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $141.62 (6.9% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
How high can MAA stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $158 for MAA, while the most conservative target is $129. The consensus of $141.62 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $122 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover MAA stock?
MAA is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 37 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 18 have Buy ratings, 17 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the MAA stock forecast?
The 12-month MAA stock forecast based on 37 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $141.62, with estimates ranging from $129 (bear case) to $158 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $93, with bear/bull scenarios of $59/$122.
What is MAA's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MAA's fair value at $93 (base case), with a bear case of $59 and bull case of $122. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
What is MAA's forward P/E ratio?
MAA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 38.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 35.1x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy MAA stock?
MAA appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $141.62 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do MAA price targets vary so much?
MAA analyst price targets range from $129 to $158, a 20% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $141.62 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $59-$122 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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