Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 7 analysts11.0% Below Target
MBIN trades 11.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $54.50.
Current Price$49.09
Average Target$54.50
Target
Current
Low$51.00
Median$54.50
High$58.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E9.4x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+9.4%
(Low)
Analyst Spread12.8%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes MBIN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 7 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
MBIN Price Target Analysis
Updated June 21, 2026As of June 21, 2026, Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $54.50, based on estimates from 7 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $49.09, this represents a potential upside of +11.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.26B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $51.00 to a high of $58.00, representing a 13% spread in expectations. The median target of $54.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, MBIN trades at a trailing P/E of 13.0x and forward P/E of 9.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +9.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $61.04, with bear and bull scenarios of $38.45 and $80.42 respectively. Model confidence stands at 52/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+5.6%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
10.8x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WAFDWaFd, Inc. | $2.8B | $36.48 | $35.00 | -4.1% | Hold | 11.2x | 11 |
 CUBICustomers Bancorp, Inc. | $2.6B | $75.79 | $89.00 | +17.4% | Buy | 8.9x | 17 |
 FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp. | $3.3B | $31.61 | $32.25 | +2.0% | Hold | 10.0x | 19 |
 IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $706M | $34.31 | $38.00 | +10.8% | Hold | 9.7x | 7 |
 NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.4B | $46.68 | $46.00 | -1.5% | Hold | 11.2x | 10 |
 BANRBanner Corporation | $2.2B | $64.83 | $64.25 | -0.9% | Hold | 10.5x | 13 |
 BOKFBOK Financial Corporation | $7.9B | $130.33 | $132.00 | +1.3% | Hold | 12.7x | 21 |
 HOMBHome Bancshares, Inc. | $5.5B | $27.65 | $31.50 | +13.9% | Hold | 11.2x | 19 |
 SFNCSimmons First National Corporation | $3.2B | $21.90 | $23.00 | +5.0% | Buy | 10.6x | 9 |
 TCBKTriCo Bancshares | $1.7B | $51.40 | $57.33 | +11.5% | Buy | 12.2x | 12 |
MBIN — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MBIN stock.
What is the MBIN stock price target for 2026?
Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) has a consensus 12-month price target of $54.5, implying 11.0% upside from $49.09. The 7 analysts covering MBIN see moderate appreciation potential.
Is MBIN a buy, sell, or hold?
MBIN has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 7 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $54.5 implies 11.0% upside from current levels.
Is MBIN stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 9.4282x, MBIN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $54.5 implies 11.0% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can MBIN stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $58 for MBIN, while the most conservative target is $51. The consensus of $54.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $80 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover MBIN stock?
MBIN is moderately covered, with 7 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the MBIN stock forecast?
The 12-month MBIN stock forecast based on 7 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $54.5, with estimates ranging from $51 (bear case) to $58 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $61, with bear/bull scenarios of $38/$80.
What is MBIN's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MBIN's fair value at $61 (base case), with a bear case of $38 and bull case of $80. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.
What is MBIN's forward P/E ratio?
MBIN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy MBIN stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on MBIN, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $54.5 price target (11.0% upside). 5 of 7 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do MBIN price targets vary so much?
MBIN analyst price targets range from $51 to $58, a 13% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $54.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $38-$80 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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