TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$50.80
Price Target
$57.33
Target Range
$54.00 — $63.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E12.0x
Trailing P/E13.7x
Forward PEG1.05
Implied Growth+13.2%
Median Target$55.00
Analyst Spread15.7%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$54
+6.3%
Consensus
$57
+12.9%
Bull Case
$63
+24.0%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 66/100
Bear$46
Base$59
Bull$128
TCBK Price Target Analysis
Updated May 7, 2026As of May 7, 2026, TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $57.33, based on estimates from 12 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $50.80, this represents a potential upside of +12.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.63B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $54.00 to a high of $63.00, representing a 16% spread in expectations. The median target of $55.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, TCBK trades at a trailing P/E of 13.7x and forward P/E of 12.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.05 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +13.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $59.40, with bear and bull scenarios of $45.78 and $127.66 respectively. Model confidence stands at 66/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+8.0%
Avg Forward P/E11.7x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CVBFCVB Financial Corp. | $2.8B | $20.63 | $24.75 | +20.0% | Hold | 14.3x | 16 |
 WAFDWaFd, Inc. | $2.7B | $35.64 | $35.00 | -1.8% | Hold | 10.9x | 11 |
 BANRBanner Corporation | $2.2B | $66.23 | $70.00 | +5.7% | Hold | 10.6x | 13 |
 COLBColumbia Banking System, Inc. | $7.2B | $30.20 | $32.92 | +9.0% | Buy | 9.9x | 19 |
 FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $4.6B | $32.60 | $39.25 | +20.4% | Hold | 16.0x | 15 |
 BOKFBOK Financial Corporation | $10.4B | $135.54 | $131.57 | -2.9% | Hold | 13.3x | 21 |
 SFNCSimmons First National Corporation | $3.1B | $21.59 | $22.67 | +5.0% | Buy | 10.5x | 9 |
 IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $696M | $33.81 | $38.00 | +12.4% | Hold | 9.5x | 7 |
 NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.4B | $45.20 | $46.00 | +1.8% | Hold | 10.8x | 10 |
 FULTFulton Financial Corporation | $4.2B | $21.79 | $24.00 | +10.1% | Hold | 10.8x | 20 |
Upside Potential Comparison
FFINCVBFIBCPFULTCOLBBANRSFNCNBTBSee TCBK's True Return
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Start ComparisonTCBK — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TCBK stock.
What is the TCBK stock price target for 2026?
TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) has a consensus 12-month price target of $57.33, implying 12.9% upside from $50.8. The 12 analysts covering TCBK see moderate appreciation potential.
Is TCBK a buy, sell, or hold?
TCBK has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 12 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 6 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $57.33 implies 12.9% upside from current levels.
Is TCBK stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 12.0428x, TCBK trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $57.33 implies 12.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can TCBK stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $63 for TCBK, while the most conservative target is $54. The consensus of $57.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $128 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TCBK stock?
TCBK is moderately covered, with 12 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TCBK stock forecast?
The 12-month TCBK stock forecast based on 12 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $57.33, with estimates ranging from $54 (bear case) to $63 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $59, with bear/bull scenarios of $46/$128.
What is TCBK's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TCBK's fair value at $59 (base case), with a bear case of $46 and bull case of $128. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 66/100.
What is TCBK's forward P/E ratio?
TCBK trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TCBK stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on TCBK, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $57.33 price target (12.9% upside). 6 of 12 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TCBK price targets vary so much?
TCBK analyst price targets range from $54 to $63, a 16% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $57.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $46-$128 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.