MDV trades 7.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $19.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MDV achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 207.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 29, 2026, Modiv Industrial, Inc. (MDV) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $19.00, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $17.64, this represents a potential upside of +7.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $182M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $19.00 to a high of $19.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $19.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, MDV trades at a trailing P/E of -56.9x and forward P/E of 207.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +564.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $20.55, with bear and bull scenarios of $12.95 and $27.08 respectively. Model confidence stands at 42/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IIPRInnovative Industrial Properties, Inc. | $1.8B | $62.93 | $84.67 | +34.5% | Hold | 14.7x | 11 |
STAGSTAG Industrial, Inc. | $7.5B | $39.42 | $41.00 | +4.0% | Buy | 35.3x | 21 |
PLYMPlymouth Industrial REIT, Inc. | $979M | $21.98 | $21.00 | -4.5% | Hold | — | 16 |
ILPTIndustrial Logistics Properties Trust | $619M | $9.28 | $7.40 | -20.3% | Buy | — | 9 |
GIPRGeneration Income Properties, Inc. | $947644 | $0.17 | — | — | — | — | — |
PLDPrologis, Inc. | $130.5B | $139.97 | $145.57 | +4.0% | Buy | 41.4x | 42 |
EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc. | $11.1B | $207.29 | $213.70 | +3.1% | Hold | 35.4x | 33 |
FRFirst Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. | $8.4B | $63.58 | $67.75 | +6.6% | Buy | 26.5x | 29 |
REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | $7.9B | $34.35 | $37.00 | +7.7% | Buy | 27.5x | 21 |
LXPLXP Industrial Trust | $3.3B | $55.60 | $54.00 | -2.9% | Buy | 654.1x | 15 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MDV stock.
The consensus price target for MDV is $19, close to the current price of $17.64 (7.7% implied move). Based on 8 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
MDV has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 7 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $19 implies 7.7% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 207.5294x, MDV trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $19 (7.7% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $19 for MDV, while the most conservative target is $19. The consensus of $19 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $27 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MDV is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MDV stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $19, with estimates ranging from $19 (bear case) to $19 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $21, with bear/bull scenarios of $13/$27.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MDV's fair value at $21 (base case), with a bear case of $13 and bull case of $27. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 42/100.
MDV trades at a forward P/E ratio of 207.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
MDV appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $19 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MDV analyst price targets range from $19 to $19, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $19 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $13-$27 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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