Marten Transport, Ltd. (MRTN) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$15.14
Price Target
$22.50
Target Range
$20.00 — $25.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E54.4x
Trailing P/E72.1x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth+30.1%
Median Target$22.50
Analyst Spread22.2%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$20
+32.1%
Consensus
$23
+48.6%
Bull Case
$25
+65.1%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 45/100
Bear$6
Base$20
Bull$105
MRTN Price Target Analysis
Updated May 8, 2026As of May 8, 2026, Marten Transport, Ltd. (MRTN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $22.50, based on estimates from 13 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $15.14, this represents a potential upside of +48.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.24B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $20.00 to a high of $25.00, representing a 22% spread in expectations. The median target of $22.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, MRTN trades at a trailing P/E of 72.1x and forward P/E of 54.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +30.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $19.80, with bear and bull scenarios of $6.48 and $105.23 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+3.8%
Avg Forward P/E33.4x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc. | $2.2B | $36.38 | $36.10 | -0.8% | Hold | 39.8x | 36 |
 HTLDHeartland Express, Inc. | $1.0B | $12.98 | $12.00 | -7.6% | Hold | — | 22 |
 SNDRSchneider National, Inc. | $5.4B | $30.65 | $29.67 | -3.2% | Hold | 35.5x | 25 |
 KNXKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. | $10.3B | $63.43 | $65.10 | +2.6% | Buy | 34.3x | 36 |
 JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | $22.9B | $242.19 | $224.88 | -7.1% | Buy | 33.0x | 45 |
 ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | $41.3B | $198.06 | $208.19 | +5.1% | Hold | 37.7x | 36 |
 SAIASaia, Inc. | $12.0B | $448.94 | $422.67 | -5.9% | Buy | 42.3x | 32 |
 ARCBArcBest Corporation | $2.7B | $121.78 | $117.14 | -3.8% | Buy | 23.6x | 24 |
 CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $20.3B | $171.37 | $187.38 | +9.3% | Hold | 27.9x | 46 |
 DSGRDistribution Solutions Group, Inc. | $1.3B | $27.49 | $41.00 | +49.1% | Buy | 26.9x | 3 |
Upside Potential Comparison
DSGRCHRWODFLKNXWERNSNDRARCBSAIASee MRTN's True Return
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Start ComparisonMRTN — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MRTN stock.
What is the MRTN stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for MRTN is $22.5, representing 48.6% upside from the current price of $15.14. With 13 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is MRTN a buy, sell, or hold?
MRTN has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 13 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 7 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $22.5 implies 48.6% upside from current levels.
Is MRTN stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 54.3627x, MRTN trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $22.5 (48.6% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
How high can MRTN stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $25 for MRTN, while the most conservative target is $20. The consensus of $22.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $105 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover MRTN stock?
MRTN is moderately covered, with 13 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the MRTN stock forecast?
The 12-month MRTN stock forecast based on 13 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $22.5, with estimates ranging from $20 (bear case) to $25 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $20, with bear/bull scenarios of $6/$105.
What is MRTN's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MRTN's fair value at $20 (base case), with a bear case of $6 and bull case of $105. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
What is MRTN's forward P/E ratio?
MRTN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 54.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 72.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy MRTN stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MRTN, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $22.5 price target (48.6% upside). 6 of 13 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do MRTN price targets vary so much?
MRTN analyst price targets range from $20 to $25, a 22% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $22.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $6-$105 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.