MSI trades 15.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $525.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MSI achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 25.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 34 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 23, 2026, Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $525.00, based on estimates from 34 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $456.70, this represents a potential upside of +15.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $75.81B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $476.00 to a high of $550.00, representing a 14% spread in expectations. The median target of $529.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 24 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,6 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, MSI trades at a trailing P/E of 35.8x and forward P/E of 25.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.39 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +38.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $475.43, with bear and bull scenarios of $299.52 and $626.43 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc. | $37.0B | $459.32 | $652.14 | +42.0% | Buy | 59.5x | 22 |
 DGIIDigi International Inc. | $2.8B | $74.84 | $79.00 | +5.6% | Buy | 27.8x | 18 |
 JCIJohnson Controls International plc | $88.7B | $146.44 | $170.57 | +16.5% | Buy | 28.9x | 45 |
 SAICScience Applications International Corporation | $5.5B | $129.69 | $118.75 | -8.4% | Hold | 12.9x | 18 |
 TRMBTrimble Inc. | $13.8B | $59.30 | $73.50 | +23.9% | Buy | 19.2x | 28 |
 KSCPKnightscope, Inc. | $20M | $1.09 | — | — | — | — | — |
 VIAVViavi Solutions Inc. | $9.0B | $36.40 | $58.67 | +61.2% | Buy | 38.8x | 19 |
 CALXCalix, Inc. | $2.2B | $35.15 | $57.00 | +62.2% | Buy | 20.4x | 21 |
 NTCTNetScout Systems, Inc. | $2.8B | $39.14 | $43.00 | +9.9% | Hold | 16.2x | 21 |
 SPOKSpok Holdings, Inc. | $220M | $10.53 | $15.00 | +42.5% | Hold | 16.0x | 1 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MSI stock.
Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) has a consensus 12-month price target of $525, implying 15.0% upside from $456.7. The 34 analysts covering MSI see moderate appreciation potential.
MSI has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 34 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 24 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $525 implies 15.0% upside from current levels.
MSI trades at a forward P/E of 25.7873x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $525 (15.0% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $550 for MSI, while the most conservative target is $476. The consensus of $525 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $626 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MSI is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 34 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 24 have Buy ratings, 6 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MSI stock forecast based on 34 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $525, with estimates ranging from $476 (bear case) to $550 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $475, with bear/bull scenarios of $300/$626.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MSI's fair value at $475 (base case), with a bear case of $300 and bull case of $626. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
MSI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 25.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 35.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on MSI, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $525 price target (15.0% upside). 24 of 34 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MSI analyst price targets range from $476 to $550, a 14% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $525 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $300-$626 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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