Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$143.14
Price Target
$138.00
Target Range
$124.00 — $154.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E30.2x
Trailing P/E54.4x
Forward PEG1.18
Implied Growth-11.6%
Median Target$138.00
Analyst Spread21.7%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$124
-13.4%
Consensus
$138
-3.6%
Bull Case
$154
+7.6%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 61/100
Bear$84
Base$314
Bull$254
JCI Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $138.00, based on estimates from 45 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $143.14, this represents a potential downside of -3.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $87.61B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $124.00 to a high of $154.00, representing a 22% spread in expectations. The median target of $138.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 28 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,17 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, JCI trades at a trailing P/E of 54.4x and forward P/E of 30.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.18 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -11.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $314.39, with bear and bull scenarios of $84.14 and $253.85 respectively. Model confidence stands at 61/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+10.5%
Avg Forward P/E27.2x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HONHoneywell International Inc. | $137.4B | $216.82 | $243.83 | +12.5% | Buy | 20.6x | 28 |
 ETNEaton Corporation plc | $163.5B | $421.39 | $379.78 | -9.9% | Buy | 31.7x | 39 |
 TTTrane Technologies plc | $108.0B | $488.18 | $518.50 | +6.2% | Hold | 32.9x | 25 |
 CARRCarrier Global Corporation | $56.7B | $67.90 | $67.50 | -0.6% | Buy | 24.5x | 26 |
 EMREmerson Electric Co. | $83.2B | $147.92 | $161.92 | +9.5% | Buy | 22.8x | 41 |
 OTISOtis Worldwide Corporation | $29.8B | $76.71 | $92.00 | +19.9% | Hold | 18.2x | 13 |
 ALLEAllegion plc | $11.6B | $135.33 | $172.50 | +27.5% | Hold | 15.4x | 23 |
 AAONAAON, Inc. | $8.0B | $98.30 | $119.00 | +21.1% | Buy | 49.6x | 5 |
 WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc. | $9.7B | $292.35 | $344.50 | +17.8% | Hold | 24.9x | 23 |
 GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc. | $15.7B | $267.42 | $271.22 | +1.4% | Buy | 31.0x | 39 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonJCI — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying JCI stock.
What is the JCI stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for JCI is $138, -3.6% from its current price of $143.14. The below-market target from 45 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is JCI a buy, sell, or hold?
JCI has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 45 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 28 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $138 implies -3.6% downside from current levels.
Is JCI stock overvalued or undervalued?
JCI trades at a forward P/E of 30.2021x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $138 (-3.6% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can JCI stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $154 for JCI, while the most conservative target is $124. The consensus of $138 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $254 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover JCI stock?
JCI is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 45 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 28 have Buy ratings, 17 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the JCI stock forecast?
The 12-month JCI stock forecast based on 45 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $138, with estimates ranging from $124 (bear case) to $154 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $314, with bear/bull scenarios of $84/$254.
What is JCI's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates JCI's fair value at $314 (base case), with a bear case of $84 and bull case of $254. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 61/100.
What is JCI's forward P/E ratio?
JCI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 30.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 54.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy JCI stock?
Analysts are cautious on JCI, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $138 (-3.6% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do JCI price targets vary so much?
JCI analyst price targets range from $124 to $154, a 22% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $138 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $84-$254 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.