6.3% Above Target

Wall Street's consensus price target for MSM is $111, -6.3% from its current price of $118.51. The below-market target from 28 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

MSM has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 28 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 18 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $111 implies -6.3% downside from current levels.

MSM trades at a forward P/E of 27.2249x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $111 (-6.3% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $145 for MSM, while the most conservative target is $85. The consensus of $111 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $196 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

MSM is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 28 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 9 have Buy ratings, 18 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month MSM stock forecast based on 28 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $111, with estimates ranging from $85 (bear case) to $145 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $149, with bear/bull scenarios of $94/$196.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MSM's fair value at $149 (base case), with a bear case of $94 and bull case of $196. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.

MSM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 33.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on MSM, with 1 Sell ratings and a price target of $111 (-6.3% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

MSM analyst price targets range from $85 to $145, a 54% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $111 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $94-$196 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.