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NVMI logo

Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 13 analysts

1.5% Above Target

NVMI trades 1.5% above Wall Street's consensus target of $566.80.

Current Price$575.31
Average Target$566.80
Target
Current
Low$494.00
Median$600.00
High$640.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E54.9x
(High Premium)
PEG Ratio1.49
(Fair)
Implied Growth+36.8%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread25.8%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$575.31
Consensus$566.80
High$640.00
Low$494.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes NVMI achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 54.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 13 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 13 published analyst recommendations for NVMI

13/13 analysts are bullish
+50
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 13 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage13 Analysts
Net Score+50
Bull / Bear100% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy13100%
Hold00%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
13100%
Hold
00%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix100% Buy · 0% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (13)Hold (0)Sell (0)

NVMI Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Nova Ltd. (NVMI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $566.80, based on estimates from 13 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $575.31, this represents a potential downside of -1.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $18.29B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $494.00 to a high of $640.00, representing a 26% spread in expectations. The median target of $600.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 13 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, NVMI trades at a trailing P/E of 72.3x and forward P/E of 54.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.49 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +36.8% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $481.85, with bear and bull scenarios of $303.57 and $634.89 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Technology stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+46.4%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
60.8x
(High Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
ONTO logo
ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.
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+1.5%
Buy46.5x11
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CAMTCamtek Ltd.
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COHUCohu, Inc.
$3.3B$69.40$49.75
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Buy119.3x14
KLIC logo
KLICKulicke and Soffa Industries, Inc.
$6.4B$121.87$70.00
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Buy35.7x11
KLAC logo
KLACKLA Corporation
$34.2B$259.56$1920.88
+640.1%
Buy70.0x44
AMAT logo
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.
$490.0B$617.11$533.65
-13.5%
Buy50.5x53
LRCX logo
LRCXLam Research Corporation
$485.8B$389.04$349.22
-10.2%
Buy68.5x50
ACMR logo
ACMRACM Research, Inc.
$7.3B$109.87$100.00
-9.0%
Buy55.2x10
ICHR logo
ICHRIchor Holdings, Ltd.
$3.4B$98.61$54.60
-44.6%
Buy71.5x14

NVMI — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying NVMI stock.

What is the NVMI stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for NVMI is $566.8, -1.5% from its current price of $575.31. The below-market target from 13 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is NVMI a buy, sell, or hold?

NVMI has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 13 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 13 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $566.8 implies -1.5% downside from current levels.

Is NVMI stock overvalued or undervalued?

At a forward P/E of 54.9453x, NVMI trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $566.8 (-1.5% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.

How high can NVMI stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $640 for NVMI, while the most conservative target is $494. The consensus of $566.8 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $635 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover NVMI stock?

NVMI is moderately covered, with 13 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 13 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the NVMI stock forecast?

The 12-month NVMI stock forecast based on 13 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $566.8, with estimates ranging from $494 (bear case) to $640 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $482, with bear/bull scenarios of $304/$635.

What is NVMI's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates NVMI's fair value at $482 (base case), with a bear case of $304 and bull case of $635. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.

What is NVMI's forward P/E ratio?

NVMI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 54.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 72.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy NVMI stock?

Analysts are cautious on NVMI, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $566.8 (-1.5% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do NVMI price targets vary so much?

NVMI analyst price targets range from $494 to $640, a 26% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $566.8 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $304-$635 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into NVMI consensus models and risk factors.

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Intrinsic Valuation

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Historical Returns

10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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Peer Comparison

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