ORLA trades 55.6% above Wall Street's consensus target of $4.18.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ORLA achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 6.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Orla Mining Ltd. (ORLA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $4.18, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $9.42, this represents a potential downside of -55.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $3.54B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $4.18 to a high of $4.18, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $4.18 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, ORLA trades at a trailing P/E of 30.4x and forward P/E of 6.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +148.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $30.82, with bear and bull scenarios of $19.42 and $40.61 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 EGOEldorado Gold Corporation | $8.1B | $38.12 | $44.67 | +17.2% | Hold | 11.8x | 24 |
 CDECoeur Mining, Inc. | $18.2B | $17.66 | $21.50 | +21.7% | Buy | 16.5x | 21 |
 HLHecla Mining Company | $11.5B | $17.20 | $23.44 | +36.3% | Hold | 23.6x | 26 |
 PAASPan American Silver Corp. | $19.2B | $45.51 | $62.50 | +37.3% | Buy | 13.1x | 25 |
 MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | $4.5B | $24.07 | $33.78 | +40.3% | Buy | 8.0x | 27 |
 KGCKinross Gold Corporation | $28.7B | $24.06 | $39.20 | +62.9% | Buy | 9.5x | 29 |
 IAGIamgold Corporation | $10.7B | $18.52 | $22.00 | +18.8% | Buy | 8.9x | 30 |
 BTGB2Gold Corp. | $6.9B | $5.20 | $6.17 | +18.7% | Buy | 8.8x | 9 |
 NGDNew Gold Inc. | $7.2B | $9.08 | $8.91 | -1.9% | Buy | 6.6x | 18 |
 NEMNewmont Corporation | $121.8B | $115.56 | $136.83 | +18.4% | Buy | 12.2x | 37 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ORLA stock.
ORLA's consensus price target is $4.18, -55.6% below the current price of $9.42. The 4 analysts tracking ORLA see downside risk at present valuations.
ORLA has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $4.18 implies -55.6% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 5.9935x, ORLA trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $4.18 implies -55.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $4.18 for ORLA, while the most conservative target is $4.18. The consensus of $4.18 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $41 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ORLA is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ORLA stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $4.18, with estimates ranging from $4.18 (bear case) to $4.18 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $31, with bear/bull scenarios of $19/$41.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ORLA's fair value at $31 (base case), with a bear case of $19 and bull case of $41. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
ORLA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 30.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on ORLA, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $4.18 (-55.6% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ORLA analyst price targets range from $4.18 to $4.18, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $4.18 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $19-$41 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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