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Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$53.08
Market reference
Price Target
$52.00
-2.0% Upside
Target Range
$38.00 — $67.00
Wide divergence
Analyst Rating
Buy
52 analysts
Forward P/E43.8x
Trailing P/E33.0x
Forward PEG—
Implied Growth-47.8%
Median Target$51.50
Analyst Spread55.8%

OXY trades 2.0% above the consensus target of $52.00. Current price reflects optimism beyond analyst expectations.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$53.08
Consensus$52.00
High$67.00
Low$38.00
Model$62.27
Bear Case
$38
-28.4%
Consensus
$52
-2.0%
Bull Case
$67
+26.2%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 46/100
Bear$-30
Base$62
Bull$306

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 52 published analyst recommendations for OXY

44% hold / mixed conviction
+16
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 52 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage52 Analysts
Net Score+16
Bull / Bear44% / 12%
Strong Buy00%
Buy2344%
Hold2344%
Sell612%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
2344%
Hold
2344%
Sell
612%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix44% Buy · 44% Hold · 12% Sell
Buy (23)Hold (23)Sell (6)

OXY Price Target Analysis

Updated March 1, 2026

As of March 1, 2026, Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $52.00, based on estimates from 52 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $53.08, this represents a potential downside of -2.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $52.29B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $38.00 to a high of $67.00, representing a 56% spread in expectations. The median target of $51.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 23 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,23 rating it Hold, and 6 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, OXY trades at a trailing P/E of 33.0x and forward P/E of 43.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -47.8% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $62.27, with bear and bull scenarios of $-30.18 and $305.88 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Energy stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+7.0%
Avg Forward P/E24.9x
Peers with Coverage5 / 5
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation
$52.3B$53.08$52.00-2.0%Buy43.8x52
COPConocoPhillips$139.0B$113.46$116.79+2.9%Buy23.0x52
WDSWoodside Energy Group Ltd$38.9B$20.48$28.00+36.7%Hold29.8x2
CTRACoterra Energy Inc.$23.2B$30.59$32.40+5.9%Buy14.6x55
APAAPA Corporation$10.8B$30.37$27.75-8.6%Hold13.4x51

Upside Potential Comparison

WDS
+36.7%
CTRA
+5.9%
COP
+2.9%
OXY
-2.0%
APA
-8.6%

See OXY's True Return

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Is OXY Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Compare OXY vs CRC

See how OXY stacks up against sector leader California Resources Corporation.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the OXY stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for OXY is $52, -2.0% from its current price of $53.08. The below-market target from 52 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is OXY a buy, sell, or hold?

OXY has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 52 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 23 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $52 implies -2.0% downside from current levels.

Is OXY stock overvalued or undervalued?

At a forward P/E of 43.7701x, OXY trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $52 (-2.0% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.

How high can OXY stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $67 for OXY, while the most conservative target is $38. The consensus of $52 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $306 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover OXY stock?

OXY is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 52 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 23 have Buy ratings, 23 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the OXY stock forecast?

The 12-month OXY stock forecast based on 52 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $52, with estimates ranging from $38 (bear case) to $67 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $62, with bear/bull scenarios of $-30/$306.

What is OXY's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates OXY's fair value at $62 (base case), with a bear case of $-30 and bull case of $306. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.

What is OXY's forward P/E ratio?

OXY trades at a forward P/E ratio of 43.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 33.0x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy OXY stock?

Analysts are cautious on OXY, with 6 Sell ratings and a price target of $52 (-2.0% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do OXY price targets vary so much?

OXY analyst price targets range from $38 to $67, a 56% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $52 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $-30-$306 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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