Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, APA Corporation (APA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $27.75, based on estimates from 51 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $30.37, this represents a potential downside of -8.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $10.77B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $21.00 to a high of $40.00, representing a 68% spread in expectations. The median target of $26.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 20 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,25 rating it Hold, and 6 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, APA trades at a trailing P/E of 7.6x and forward P/E of 13.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -43.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $25.58, with bear and bull scenarios of $0.45 and $76.99 respectively. Model confidence stands at 39/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.
Launch CalculatorSee our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.
View ValuationSee how APA stacks up against sector leader California Resources Corporation.
Start ComparisonWall Street's consensus price target for APA is $27.75, -8.6% from its current price of $30.37. The below-market target from 51 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
APA has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 51 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 25 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $27.75 implies -8.6% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 13.3865x, APA trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $27.75 implies -8.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $40 for APA, while the most conservative target is $21. The consensus of $27.75 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $77 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
APA is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 51 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 20 have Buy ratings, 25 recommend Hold, and 6 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month APA stock forecast based on 51 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $27.75, with estimates ranging from $21 (bear case) to $40 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $26, with bear/bull scenarios of $0/$77.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates APA's fair value at $26 (base case), with a bear case of $0 and bull case of $77. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 39/100.
APA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 7.6x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on APA, with 6 Sell ratings and a price target of $27.75 (-8.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
APA analyst price targets range from $21 to $40, a 68% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $27.75 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $0-$77 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.