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PMPhilip Morris International Inc.
$184.52$287.6B
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Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) Research Brief

Wall Street consensus, price target range, and equity research thesis

Buy25 Analyst Coverage
Consensus Target
$211+14.1% Upside
Current: $184.52
Analyst Range
Low $182High $225
12-Month High/Low Spread
Ratings Mix
17 Buy·7 Hold·1 Sell
Earnings & Valuation
EPS Beat 7.3%
Forward P/E: 22.1x

Executive Summary & Research Take

Wall Street currently rates PM buy with a 12-month price target of $211 (+14.1% upside). The sections below cover the bull case, key risks, and latest earnings context for Philip Morris International Inc..

Recent Analyst Actions

PM Analyst Upgrades & Price Target Changes

1 of 1 analysts raised targets. Recent price target changes and ratings for PM.

Updated Jun 2026
FirmActionRatingPrice Target
Morgan StanleyRaisedOverweight$190$200

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Analyst Research Summary

Investment Thesis: Bull Case & Risk Factors

A structured look at the bull case, the risks, and the most recent earnings execution for PM.

Current setup

PM beat estimates last quarter. Below are the key reasons analysts remain constructive and the risks that could change that view.

Bull Case

What keeps the long thesis intact

  • Strong Smoke-Free GrowthPhilip Morris is successfully transitioning towards smoke-free products, with IQOS and ZYN leading the charge, showing organic growth and market share gains.
  • Positive Analyst SentimentThe majority of Wall Street analysts have a 'Buy' or 'Strong Buy' rating on PM stock, with a consensus price target suggesting potential upside.
  • Undervalued Based on DCFThe stock is currently considered undervalued based on a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, indicating potential for price appreciation.
  • International MomentumThe International Smoke-Free Business is showing outstanding growth, contributing to broad-based international growth.
  • Strong Financial PerformanceThe company has demonstrated revenue growth and is expected to continue this trend with strong operating income growth.

Wall Street rates PM buy, giving the bull case institutional backing from 25 analysts.

Watch Out For

What can break the setup quickly

  • Regulatory UncertaintiesIncreased competition and regulatory uncertainties, particularly concerning newer nicotine pouch products, could negatively impact margins.
  • Valuation ConcernsSome analysts suggest the stock's current valuation may be too high, trading at a higher P/E ratio compared to the industry average.
  • Slowing U.S. GrowthWhile international growth is strong, the U.S. segment has experienced declines, and growth in key drivers like ZYN has slowed.
  • Reliance on PricingThere's a reliance on pricing for combustible products to maintain revenue, which may not be sustainable long-term.
  • Market VolatilityShort-term volatility is expected, especially around earnings reports, which could lead to downward pressure on the stock price.
  • Guidance CutsThe company has trimmed its annual profit outlook, citing increased competition and regulatory uncertainties.

Watch whether new negative commentary on PM points to these structural risks or is simply reacting to short-term price moves.

PM Earnings Reaction — What the Last Quarter Showed

Last Quarter

EPS
$2.20 vs $2.05 est.Beat 7.3%
Revenue
$11.2B vs $10.6B est.Beat 5.6%
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PM — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying PM stock.

What is the analyst consensus on PM?
Verdict

PM has modest upside — analysts rate it "Buy" with a $211 target, implying +14.1% from today's $184.52. This is informational only — verify the data and consider your own risk tolerance before deciding.

What are recent analyst rating changes for PM?
Timing

Timing depends on your horizon, but the data signals are: consensus rating "Buy" with +14.1% upside to the $211 target. In the past 30 days, 1 of 1 covering analysts raised their price targets — a bullish signal.

What is the price target for PM stock?
Price Target

PM's consensus 12-month price target is $211, set by 25 Wall Street analysts. The bull case high is $225 and the bear case low is $182. From the current price of $184.52, this implies +14.1% upside.

Is PM overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation

PM appears fairly valued — the $211 consensus target is roughly in line with today's $184.52 (+14.1%). It trades at a forward P/E of 22.1x. Targets range from $182 (bear) to $225 (bull), reflecting different assumptions about growth and margins.

What were PM's latest earnings results?
Earnings

PM reports next quarter. Earnings-week moves are volatile — historically, analyst targets revise upward after a beat and downward after a miss. The current consensus is "Buy" with a $211 target. Consider position sizing rather than going all-in pre-print.

What is the bull case for PM?
Coverage

Of 25 analysts covering Philip Morris International Inc. (PM): 0 Strong Buy, 17 Buy, 7 Hold, 1 Sell, 0 Strong Sell — a "Buy" consensus. The 12-month price target is $211 (range $182–$225). Bullish analysts outnumber bearish by more than 2-to-1.

What are the risks of investing in PM?
Risks

1 of the 25 analysts covering PM rate it Sell or Strong Sell. Common concerns include valuation stretch, slowing growth, and sector-specific headwinds — see the Bull vs. Risk cards above for the specific theses on Philip Morris International Inc..

Financial Data & Software Notice: VCP Scanner is an educational financial research database and stock screening software platform. VCP Scanner does not generate, recommend, or package trade decisions, buy/sell signals, or personalized investment advice. Consensus ratings and price targets reflect aggregated third-party Wall Street analyst research from public SEC filings. See our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.