Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 32 analysts28.5% Below Target
SMTC trades 28.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $203.30.
Current Price$158.23
Average Target$203.30
Target
Current
Low$175.00
Median$200.00
High$225.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E93.3x
(High Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+561.9%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread24.6%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes SMTC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 93.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 32 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
SMTC Price Target Analysis
Updated June 21, 2026As of June 21, 2026, Semtech Corporation (SMTC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $203.30, based on estimates from 32 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $158.23, this represents a potential upside of +28.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $14.74B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $175.00 to a high of $225.00, representing a 25% spread in expectations. The median target of $200.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 27 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, SMTC trades at a trailing P/E of -344.0x and forward P/E of 93.3x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +561.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $8.32, with bear and bull scenarios of $5.24 and $10.96 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Technology stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
-2.5%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
64.4x
(High Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SLABSilicon Laboratories Inc. | $7.2B | $219.75 | $211.60 | -3.7% | Buy | 79.4x | 37 |
 SITMSiTime Corporation | $19.2B | $729.04 | $664.17 | -8.9% | Buy | 92.9x | 9 |
 DIODDiodes Incorporated | $5.5B | $119.46 | $120.00 | +0.5% | Buy | 45.5x | 13 |
 POWIPower Integrations, Inc. | $4.9B | $87.11 | $90.00 | +3.3% | Buy | 65.3x | 16 |
 MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. | $76.8B | $1563.70 | $1615.00 | +3.3% | Buy | 65.2x | 25 |
 ALGMAllegro MicroSystems, Inc. | $10.9B | $59.00 | $52.57 | -10.9% | Buy | 111.0x | 13 |
 SWKSSkyworks Solutions, Inc. | $10.9B | $72.45 | $72.30 | -0.2% | Buy | 14.5x | 60 |
 QRVOQorvo, Inc. | $9.1B | $98.42 | $88.86 | -9.7% | Hold | 15.1x | 42 |
 AEHRAehr Test Systems | $3.5B | $115.30 | $62.00 | -46.2% | Hold | — | 3 |
 AMBAAmbarella, Inc. | $3.1B | $69.97 | $103.50 | +47.9% | Buy | 90.3x | 36 |
SMTC — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SMTC stock.
What is the SMTC stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for SMTC is $203.3, representing 28.5% upside from the current price of $158.23. With 32 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is SMTC a buy, sell, or hold?
SMTC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 32 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 27 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $203.3 implies 28.5% upside from current levels.
Is SMTC stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 93.3455x, SMTC trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $203.3 (28.5% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
How high can SMTC stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $225 for SMTC, while the most conservative target is $175. The consensus of $203.3 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $11 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover SMTC stock?
SMTC is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 32 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 27 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the SMTC stock forecast?
The 12-month SMTC stock forecast based on 32 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $203.3, with estimates ranging from $175 (bear case) to $225 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $8, with bear/bull scenarios of $5/$11.
What is SMTC's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SMTC's fair value at $8 (base case), with a bear case of $5 and bull case of $11. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.
What is SMTC's forward P/E ratio?
SMTC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 93.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy SMTC stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on SMTC, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $203.3 price target (28.5% upside). 27 of 32 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do SMTC price targets vary so much?
SMTC analyst price targets range from $175 to $225, a 25% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $203.3 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $5-$11 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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