SWIM trades 67.8% below Wall Street's consensus target of $10.64.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes SWIM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 35.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $10.64, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $6.34, this represents a potential upside of +67.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $744M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $4.00 to a high of $30.00, representing a 244% spread in expectations. The median target of $8.50 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, SWIM trades at a trailing P/E of 68.3x and forward P/E of 35.5x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +300.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $1.32, with bear and bull scenarios of $0.83 and $1.74 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc. | $2.8B | $12.75 | $15.75 | +23.5% | Hold | 14.7x | 10 |
 LEXXLexaria Bioscience Corp. | $5M | $3.23 | — | — | — | — | — |
 PATKPatrick Industries, Inc. | $2.3B | $69.18 | $113.38 | +63.9% | Buy | 16.2x | 17 |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $4.5B | $43.62 | $52.89 | +21.3% | Hold | 24.7x | 34 |
 MASMasco Corporation | $13.4B | $68.16 | $82.40 | +20.9% | Buy | 15.0x | 38 |
 UFPIUFP Industries, Inc. | $4.6B | $81.78 | $99.00 | +21.1% | Buy | 18.1x | 8 |
 SHWThe Sherwin-Williams Company | $79.3B | $326.46 | $391.50 | +19.9% | Buy | 27.0x | 38 |
 POOLPool Corporation | $6.1B | $166.61 | $211.57 | +27.0% | Buy | 15.2x | 21 |
 FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc. | $456M | $85.23 | $54.00 | -36.6% | Hold | 18.0x | 1 |
 WMSAdvanced Drainage Systems, Inc. | $9.9B | $129.74 | $188.56 | +45.3% | Hold | 21.3x | 22 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SWIM stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for SWIM is $10.64, representing 67.8% upside from the current price of $6.34. With 8 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
SWIM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 2 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $10.64 implies 67.8% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 35.4785x, SWIM trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $10.64 (67.8% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $30 for SWIM, while the most conservative target is $4. The consensus of $10.64 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SWIM is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SWIM stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $10.64, with estimates ranging from $4 (bear case) to $30 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1, with bear/bull scenarios of $1/$2.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SWIM's fair value at $1 (base case), with a bear case of $1 and bull case of $2. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
SWIM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 35.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 68.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on SWIM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $10.64 price target (67.8% upside). 4 of 8 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SWIM analyst price targets range from $4 to $30, a 244% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $10.64 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1-$2 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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