SWIM trades 35.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $10.64.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes SWIM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 39.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $10.64, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $7.85, this represents a potential upside of +35.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $922M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $4.00 to a high of $30.00, representing a 244% spread in expectations. The median target of $8.50 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, SWIM trades at a trailing P/E of 101.6x and forward P/E of 39.2x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +159.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $1.32, with bear and bull scenarios of $0.83 and $1.74 respectively. Model confidence stands at 46/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc. | $3.5B | $16.24 | $16.00 | -1.5% | Hold | 18.6x | 10 |
 LEXXLexaria Bioscience Corp. | $7M | $4.50 | — | — | — | — | — |
 PATKPatrick Industries, Inc. | $2.6B | $78.79 | $96.80 | +22.9% | Buy | 19.5x | 17 |
 TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $5.7B | $54.74 | $55.00 | +0.5% | Buy | 30.9x | 35 |
 MASMasco Corporation | $16.2B | $82.22 | $83.11 | +1.1% | Buy | 17.4x | 38 |
 UFPIUFP Industries, Inc. | $4.5B | $79.92 | $85.00 | +6.4% | Buy | 19.1x | 9 |
 SHWThe Sherwin-Williams Company | $83.5B | $344.10 | $377.85 | +9.8% | Buy | 28.6x | 40 |
 POOLPool Corporation | $7.7B | $211.70 | $204.57 | -3.4% | Buy | 19.3x | 22 |
 FLXSFlexsteel Industries, Inc. | $383M | $71.47 | $54.00 | -24.4% | Hold | 15.1x | 1 |
 WMSAdvanced Drainage Systems, Inc. | $9.5B | $124.31 | $187.20 | +50.6% | Buy | 20.5x | 23 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SWIM stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for SWIM is $10.64, representing 35.5% upside from the current price of $7.85. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
SWIM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $10.64 implies 35.5% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 39.2108x, SWIM trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $10.64 (35.5% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $30 for SWIM, while the most conservative target is $4. The consensus of $10.64 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SWIM is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SWIM stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $10.64, with estimates ranging from $4 (bear case) to $30 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1, with bear/bull scenarios of $1/$2.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SWIM's fair value at $1 (base case), with a bear case of $1 and bull case of $2. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 46/100.
SWIM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 39.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 101.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on SWIM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $10.64 price target (35.5% upside). 4 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SWIM analyst price targets range from $4 to $30, a 244% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $10.64 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1-$2 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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