Bull case
TEVA would need investors to value it at roughly 31x earnings — about 17x more generous than today's 15x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where TEVA stock could go
TEVA would need investors to value it at roughly 31x earnings — about 17x more generous than today's 15x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 19x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
The bear case reflects a scenario where earnings shortfalls or multiple compression combine to materially reduce the stock from its current level.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Teva is a global pharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures, and markets generic medicines alongside a portfolio of specialty drugs. It generates revenue primarily from generic pharmaceuticals — which account for roughly half of sales — and specialty medicines like Copaxone for multiple sclerosis and AJOVY for migraines. The company's competitive advantage lies in its massive scale in generic manufacturing, extensive global distribution network, and established portfolio of specialty drugs with patent protection.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $0.66/$0.63 | +4.8% | $4.2B/$4.4B | -4.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.78/$0.68 | +14.7% | $4.5B/$4.5B | +0.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.96/$0.65 | +47.7% | $4.7B/$4.3B | +9.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.53/$0.50 | +6.0% | $4.0B/$3.8B | +5.1% |
TEVA beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
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Latest annual revenue by reported region
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Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $30 — implies -14.7% from today's price.
| Metric | TEVA | S&P 500 | Healthcare | 5Y Avg TEVA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 14.7x | 19.1x-23% | 19.0x-23% | — |
| Trailing PE | 30.3x | 25.2x+20% | 22.1x+37% | 23.5x+29% |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.75x | 1.52x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.8x | 15.3x+17% | 14.1x+26% | 24.1x-26% |
| Price/FCF | 36.9x | 21.3x+73% | 18.7x+98% | 25.3x+46% |
| Price/Sales | 2.5x | 3.1x-22% | 2.8x-14% | 1.1x+119% |
| Dividend Yield | — | 1.88% | 1.40% | — |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolKey financial metrics for TEVA are shown below.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~11.8 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
* Elevated by buyback-compressed equity — compare ROIC (7.7%) for an undistorted picture of capital efficiency.
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt). ROE marked * where buyback-compressed equity base may inflate the figure.
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 11, 2026
Teva has faced multiple settlements under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act for bribery in Russia, Ukraine, and Mexico, resulting in significant penalties. Ongoing litigation over alleged price‑fixing, market allocation, and opioid‑related claims further exposes the company to substantial financial and reputational damage.
Teva carries a substantial debt load that limits its ability to take on new debt, pursue acquisitions, or invest in R&D. Concerns about future cash‑flow generation are heightened by litigation costs and declining sales of key products.
Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, Russia, and Ukraine threaten Teva’s manufacturing and supply‑chain operations, with recent missile strikes near facilities highlighting physical vulnerability. Disruptions could delay product availability and increase costs.
Teva’s heavy reliance on generic products exposes it to intense price erosion and regulatory changes. Sales of flagship generics such as Copaxone have declined due to generic entry, eroding revenue streams.
Teva’s shift toward proprietary drug development faces fierce competition from established pharma companies, increasing investment risk. The success of its pipeline and the robustness of its patent portfolio are critical to future growth.
Attracting and retaining highly skilled personnel is challenging in a competitive industry, potentially impacting R&D productivity and operational efficiency.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 11, 2026
Austedo’s US sales hit $725 million in Q4 2025 and are projected to reach $2.5 billion by 2027, providing a solid revenue engine for Teva.
Ajovy is expected to grow 17 % YoY while Uzedy is projected to increase 45 % YoY, adding significant specialty‑medicine upside.
Teva’s $750 million cost‑optimization program is expected to lift EBIT margins by more than four percentage points by 2027.
The strategic shift toward a higher‑value product base is expected to improve EBITDA margins, supporting stronger profitability.
Duvakitug’s progression into Phase 3 trials and exploration of new indications could serve as a key valuation catalyst for the company.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TEV TEVA Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited | $42.3B | 14.7x | +1.9% | 9.0% | Buy | +7.3% |
VTR VTRS Viatris Inc. | $18.4B | 6.5x | -1.2% | -24.6% | Hold | -4.4% |
PRG PRGO Perrigo Company plc | $1.7B | 5.8x | -1.9% | -43.5% | Hold | +63.1% |
AMR AMRX Amneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | $4.3B | 13.7x | +8.0% | 2.4% | Buy | +24.8% |
SUP SUPN Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | $3.0B | 23.7x | +7.1% | -3.7% | Buy | +16.6% |
LNT LNTH Lantheus Holdings, Inc. | $5.6B | 16.6x | +7.8% | 15.2% | Buy | +17.2% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
TEVA does not currently return meaningful capital to shareholders.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $0.85 | -37.5% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| 2016 | $1.36 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.7% |
| 2015 | $1.36 | -0.4% | 0.8% | 2.8% |
| 2014 | $1.37 | +6.9% | 1.0% | 3.4% |
| 2013 | $1.28 | +23.6% | 1.5% | 4.7% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (TEVA) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 46 analysts covering the stock, 22 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 20 rate it Hold, and 4 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $39, implying +7.3% from the current price of $36.
The Wall Street consensus price target for TEVA is $39 based on 46 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $42 (+15.6% from today), and the low-end target is $35 (-3.7%). The base case model target is $47.
TEVA trades at 14.7x times forward earnings. The stock trades at a notable premium to the broad market, which is typical for businesses with strong free cash flow and above-average growth expectations. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals slightly overvalued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for TEVA in 2026 are: (1) Regulatory & Litigation Risk — Teva has faced multiple settlements under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act for bribery in Russia, Ukraine, and Mexico, resulting in significant penalties. (2) Debt & Cash Flow Risk — Teva carries a substantial debt load that limits its ability to take on new debt, pursue acquisitions, or invest in R&D. (3) Geopolitical & Supply‑Chain Risk — Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, Russia, and Ukraine threaten Teva’s manufacturing and supply‑chain operations, with recent missile strikes near facilities highlighting physical vulnerability. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates TEVA will report consensus revenue of $17.7B (+1.9% year-over-year) and EPS of $1.55 (+16.6% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $18.4B in revenue.
A confirmed upcoming earnings date for TEVA is not yet available. Check the Earnings section above for the most recent quarterly report dates and forward estimates.
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (TEVA) generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 6.8%. TEVA returns capital to shareholders through and share repurchases ($0 TTM).