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TKRThe Timken Company
$142.36$9.9B
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TKR logo

The Timken Company (TKR) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 24 analysts

2.8% Above Target

TKR trades 2.8% above Wall Street's consensus target of $138.33.

Current Price$142.36
Average Target$138.33
Target
Current
Low$117.00
Median$140.00
High$158.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E23.1x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio11.48
(Expensive)
Implied Growth+36.8%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread29.6%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$142.36
Consensus$138.33
High$158.00
Low$117.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes TKR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 23.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 24 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 24 published analyst recommendations for TKR

42% hold / mixed conviction
+29
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 24 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage24 Analysts
Net Score+29
Bull / Bear58% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy1458%
Hold1042%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
1458%
Hold
1042%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix58% Buy · 42% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (14)Hold (10)Sell (0)

TKR Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, The Timken Company (TKR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $138.33, based on estimates from 24 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $142.36, this represents a potential downside of -2.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.89B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $117.00 to a high of $158.00, representing a 30% spread in expectations. The median target of $140.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 14 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,10 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.

From a valuation perspective, TKR trades at a trailing P/E of 34.6x and forward P/E of 23.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 11.48 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +36.8% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $192.51, with bear and bull scenarios of $121.28 and $253.66 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+15.4%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
27.7x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
RBC logo
RBCRBC Bearings Incorporated
$20.2B$639.18$598.00
-6.4%
Buy52.5x26
NN logo
NNNextNav Inc.
$2.5B$18.18$34.67
+90.7%
Buy—3
NNBR logo
NNBRNN, Inc.
$147M$2.79——Buy39.9x9
GTLS logo
GTLSChart Industries, Inc.
$10.0B$207.99$193.81
-6.8%
Buy29.9x37
PH logo
PHParker-Hannifin Corporation
$120.3B$953.27$1047.25
+9.9%
Buy30.5x38
EMR logo
EMREmerson Electric Co.
$84.4B$150.66$162.29
+7.7%
Buy23.2x41
ITT logo
ITTITT Inc.
$17.6B$196.81$243.33
+23.6%
Buy25.1x22
RRX logo
RRXRegal Rexnord Corporation
$15.1B$226.78$245.00
+8.0%
Buy21.3x22
NUE logo
NUENucor Corporation
$55.5B$243.83$239.57
-1.7%
Buy16.0x32
CMC logo
CMCCommercial Metals Company
$8.0B$72.36$82.17
+13.6%
Buy11.3x26

TKR — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TKR stock.

What is the TKR stock price target for 2026?

Wall Street's consensus price target for TKR is $138.33, -2.8% from its current price of $142.36. The below-market target from 24 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

Is TKR a buy, sell, or hold?

TKR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 24 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 14 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $138.33 implies -2.8% downside from current levels.

Is TKR stock overvalued or undervalued?

TKR trades at a forward P/E of 23.1205x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $138.33 (-2.8% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

How high can TKR stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $158 for TKR, while the most conservative target is $117. The consensus of $138.33 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $254 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover TKR stock?

TKR is well covered by analysts, with 24 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 14 have Buy ratings, 10 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the TKR stock forecast?

The 12-month TKR stock forecast based on 24 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $138.33, with estimates ranging from $117 (bear case) to $158 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $193, with bear/bull scenarios of $121/$254.

What is TKR's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TKR's fair value at $193 (base case), with a bear case of $121 and bull case of $254. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.

What is TKR's forward P/E ratio?

TKR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 34.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy TKR stock?

Analysts are cautious on TKR, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $138.33 (-2.8% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do TKR price targets vary so much?

TKR analyst price targets range from $117 to $158, a 30% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $138.33 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $121-$254 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into TKR consensus models and risk factors.

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Intrinsic Valuation

DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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Historical Returns

10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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DCA Calculator

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Peer Comparison

Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.

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