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TKRThe Timken Company
$102.03$7.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
TKR logo

The Timken Company

TKR
NYSE · Tools & Metal Products
$102.03
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$7.09B
P/E25.2x
52W High$146.37
Volume1.2M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Leverage Down, Margins Slip, Cash Flow Volatile

Timken's balance sheet has strengthened with debt-to-equity down to 0.62 and liquidity at a current ratio of 3.10, but the company faces stalled top-line growth (0.19% YoY) and compressed operating margins (6.7% in 2026Q2 vs. 15.5% peak).

GrowthStable
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

TKR price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

10/12 Beats

EPS beat 10 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-20% Peers

P/E is 20% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 39 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 61% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Feb 4
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has flattened to 0.19% YoY, while gross margin slipped to 31.7% in 2026Q2 from a 33.6% peak, and operating margin contracted to 6.7% from 15.5% in 2024Q1.

Analyst Consensus+37.8% target
Buy(24 analysts)
15 Buy9 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong Q1 2026 performance

Timken reported Q1 revenue of $1.2 billion and basic EPS of $1.41, setting a positive tone for the year.

Upgraded 2026 guidance

The company raised its full-year earnings and revenue outlook, signaling confidence in future performance.

Increased dividend payout

Timken increased its quarterly dividend to $0.36 per share, reflecting strong cash flow and commitment to shareholders.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
TKR+19.48%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
TKR+32.71%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
TKR+48.30%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+71.99%
5-Year Return
TKR+46.16%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+59.82%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
25.2x
Forward P/EExpansion
16.3x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
11.2x
FCF YieldCash Flow
6.2%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
25.2x
14.5x
100th· High
EV/EBITDA
11.2x
9.2x
100th· High
Price/FCF
16.0x
16.5x
20th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$43.87-57.0%
Base (Fair)$97.26-4.7%
Bull$131.50+28.9%
$43.87 Bear$97.26 Base$131.50 Bull
Current Market Price: $102.03
Trades at a 4.9% premium to Base DCF ($97.26)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$4.58B+0.2% YoY
Net income FY25
$288M-18.2% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$406M+32.8% YoY
Operating margin FY25
12.4%-1.0 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)8.5%
Avg ROIC 5Y10.2%
ROE (TTM)8.4%
Piotroski Score5 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
Revenue Beat Rate10/12 (83%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Nov 4, 2026
$1.65+11.5%
vs $1.48
$1.2B+0.2%
vs $1.2B
Q3 2026
Aug 4, 2026
$1.83+13.0%
vs $1.62
$1.3B+2.2%
vs $1.2B
Q2 2026
May 6, 2026
$1.67+11.3%
vs $1.50
$1.2B+5.1%
vs $1.2B
Q1 2026
Feb 4, 2026
$1.14+4.6%
vs $1.09
$1.1B+3.6%
vs $1.1B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
Zacks Investment Research·1d ago
TKR Q3 Earnings Beat, Increase Y/Y on Pricing and Tariff Refunds

Timken's Q3 2026 earnings surge 20.4%, beating estimates as favorable pricing, higher Industrial Motion volumes and tariff refunds drove margin expansion.

Seeking Alpha·3d ago
The Timken Company (TKR) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

The Timken Company ( TKR ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call November 4, 2026 11:00 AM EST Company Participants Neil Frohnapple - Vice President of Investor Relations Lucian Boldea - CEO, President & Director Michael Discenza - Executive VP & CFO Conference Call Participants Bryan Blair - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division David Raso - Evercore ISI Institutional Equities, Research Division Oliver Z Jiang - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Robert Wertheimer - Melius Research LLC Kyle Menges - Citigroup Inc., Research Division Steve Barger - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division Timothy Thein - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division Tomohiko Sano - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division Peter Heckmann - D.A. Davidson & Co., Research Division Presentation Operator Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Timken's Third Quarter Earnings Release Conference Call.

Zacks Investment Research·3d ago
Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Timken (TKR) Q3 Earnings

Although the revenue and EPS for Timken (TKR) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended September 2026, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.

Zacks Investment Research·3d ago
Timken (TKR) Surpasses Q3 Earnings Estimates

Timken (TKR) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.65 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.47 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.37 per share a year ago.

Filtered for The Timken CompanyMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark TKR against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for The Timken Company (TKR)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
TKR logoTKRThe Timken CompanyCurrent
$102.03$7.09B25.160.19%5.88%8.43%1.37%
RBC logoRBCRBC Bearings Incorporated
$474.45$15.01B42.4614.34%17.51%10.39%—
NN logoNNNextNav Inc.
$8.61$1.17B-10.90-19.33%-2812.55%-328.55%—
NNBR logoNNBRNN, Inc.
$2.75$144.69M-7.04-9.06%-6.31%-21.29%—
PH logoPHParker-Hannifin Corporation
$917.79$115.72B31.508.31%16.62%24.65%0.8%
EMR logoEMREmerson Electric Co.
$162.35$90.93B33.845.36%14.14%13.14%1.36%

Compare TKR vs Peers

The Timken Company (TKR) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs RBC

Most directly comparable listed peer for TKR.

Scale Benchmark

vs GE

Larger-name benchmark to compare TKR against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs RBC, NN, NNBR, PH

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

TKR SEC Filings & Documents

The Timken Company (TKR) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 31, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 6, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

3
FY 2026

Feb 13, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 20, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Feb 26, 2024·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Aug 4, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

May 6, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Oct 29, 2025·SEC

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TKR Frequently Asked Questions

The Timken Company (TKR) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is The Timken Company's revenue?

The Timken Company (TKR) reported $4.81B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $4.58B in fiscal year 2025. That is 91% more than the $2.39B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is The Timken Company growing?

The Timken Company (TKR) grew revenue by 5.9% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is TKR profitable?

Yes. The Timken Company (TKR) earned $283.2M in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 5.9% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does TKR pay dividends?

Yes. The Timken Company (TKR) pays a dividend that yields 1.37% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is TKR's return on equity?

The Timken Company (TKR) had a return on equity (ROE) of 8.4% over the trailing twelve months. That is below the market's typical 10-15%.

What is The Timken Company's free cash flow?

The Timken Company (TKR) generated $443.1M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in TKR back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →