The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$301.39
Price Target
$313.00
Target Range
$304.00 — $317.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E10.8x
Trailing P/E11.0x
Forward PEG0.51
Implied Growth-0.4%
Median Target$315.50
Analyst Spread4.2%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$304
+0.9%
Consensus
$313
+3.9%
Bull Case
$317
+5.2%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 75/100
Bear$168
Base$342
Bull$422
TRV Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $313.00, based on estimates from 43 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $301.39, this represents a potential upside of +3.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $65.17B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $304.00 to a high of $317.00, representing a 4% spread in expectations. The median target of $315.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 13 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,27 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, TRV trades at a trailing P/E of 11.0x and forward P/E of 10.8x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.51 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -0.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $342.13, with bear and bull scenarios of $168.45 and $422.04 respectively. Model confidence stands at 75/100, indicating high predictability in the company's fundamentals.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+13.3%
Avg Forward P/E12.6x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 CBChubb Limited | $125.9B | $322.57 | $344.33 | +6.7% | Buy | 11.9x | 43 |
 HIGThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. | $36.9B | $134.15 | $152.00 | +13.3% | Buy | 10.2x | 42 |
 CNACNA Financial Corporation | $12.0B | $44.53 | $45.00 | +1.1% | Hold | 9.2x | 7 |
 WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation | $24.9B | $66.49 | $70.30 | +5.7% | Hold | 14.3x | 30 |
 MKLMarkel Corporation | $22.1B | $1764.81 | $1950.00 | +10.5% | Hold | 15.7x | 15 |
 CINFCincinnati Financial Corporation | $25.0B | $160.35 | $173.50 | +8.2% | Buy | 18.5x | 17 |
 ALLThe Allstate Corporation | $56.2B | $218.51 | $244.38 | +11.8% | Buy | 8.1x | 44 |
 PGRThe Progressive Corporation | $115.9B | $197.74 | $230.27 | +16.5% | Hold | 12.1x | 41 |
 ERIEErie Indemnity Company | $10.2B | $221.24 | — | — | — | 17.5x | — |
 KMPRKemper Corporation | $2.0B | $32.87 | $48.00 | +46.0% | Buy | 8.7x | 12 |
Upside Potential Comparison
KMPRPGRHIGALLMKLCINFCBWRBFull TRV Stock Analysis
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Start ComparisonTRV — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TRV stock.
What is the TRV stock price target for 2026?
The consensus price target for TRV is $313, close to the current price of $301.391 (3.9% implied move). Based on 43 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
Is TRV a buy, sell, or hold?
TRV has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 43 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 27 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $313 implies 3.9% upside from current levels.
Is TRV stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 10.7772x, TRV trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $313 implies 3.9% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
How high can TRV stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $317 for TRV, while the most conservative target is $304. The consensus of $313 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $422 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover TRV stock?
TRV is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 43 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 12 have Buy ratings, 27 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the TRV stock forecast?
The 12-month TRV stock forecast based on 43 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $313, with estimates ranging from $304 (bear case) to $317 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $342, with bear/bull scenarios of $168/$422.
What is TRV's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TRV's fair value at $342 (base case), with a bear case of $168 and bull case of $422. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 75/100.
What is TRV's forward P/E ratio?
TRV trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy TRV stock?
TRV appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $313 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do TRV price targets vary so much?
TRV analyst price targets range from $304 to $317, a 4% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $313 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $168-$422 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.