The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026

Analyst Rating: Hold

Based on 43 analysts

0.8% Below Target

TRV trades 0.8% below Wall Street's consensus target of $310.40.

Current Price$307.81

Average Target$310.40

Target

Current

Low$295.00

Median$314.00

High$322.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E11.0x

(Value)

PEG Ratio0.52

(Undervalued)

Implied Growth+0.1%

(Low)

Analyst Spread8.7%

(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$307.81

Consensus$310.40

High$322.00

Low$295.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes TRV achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 11.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 43 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 43 published analyst recommendations for TRV

63% hold / mixed conviction

BearishBullish

Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 43 ratings

ConsensusHold

Coverage43 Analysts

Net Score+13

Bull / Bear30% / 7%

Strong Buy12%

Buy1228%

Hold2763%

Sell37%

Strong Sell00%

Strong Buy

12%

Buy

1228%

Hold

2763%

Sell

37%

Strong Sell

00%

Recommendation Mix30% Buy · 63% Hold · 7% Sell

Buy (13)Hold (27)Sell (3)

TRV Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $310.40, based on estimates from 43 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $307.81, this represents a potential upside of +0.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $66.56B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $295.00 to a high of $322.00, representing a 9% spread in expectations. The median target of $314.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 13 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,27 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, TRV trades at a trailing P/E of 11.2x and forward P/E of 11.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.52 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +0.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $331.11, with bear and bull scenarios of $208.60 and $436.27 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis

Avg Peer Upside

+12.3%

Industry Consensus

Avg Forward P/E

13.3x

(Value)

Peers with Coverage

9 / 10

Active Analyst Tracking

Company	Market Cap	Price	Target	Upside Potential	Rating	Fwd P/E	Analysts
CBChubb Limited	$126.2B	$323.40	$346.75	+7.2%	Buy	11.9x	43
HIGThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.	$35.3B	$128.25	$151.56	+18.2%	Buy	10.0x	42
CNACNA Financial Corporation	$12.0B	$44.52	$45.00	+1.1%	Hold	11.1x	7
WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation	$25.2B	$67.18	$69.10	+2.9%	Hold	14.3x	30
MKLMarkel Corporation	$23.1B	$1847.16	$1950.00	+5.6%	Hold	16.6x	15
CINFCincinnati Financial Corporation	$26.5B	$170.20	$182.50	+7.2%	Buy	19.6x	17
ALLThe Allstate Corporation	$56.9B	$221.17	$250.00	+13.0%	Hold	7.4x	44
PGRThe Progressive Corporation	$120.1B	$204.87	$228.42	+11.5%	Hold	12.5x	41
ERIEErie Indemnity Company	$10.2B	$221.14	—	—	—	17.5x	—
KMPRKemper Corporation	$1.5B	$25.03	$36.00	+43.8%	Buy	12.1x	12

TRV — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TRV stock.

What is the TRV stock price target for 2026?

The consensus price target for TRV is $310.4, close to the current price of $307.81 (0.8% implied move). Based on 43 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

Is TRV a buy, sell, or hold?

TRV has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 43 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 27 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $310.4 implies 0.8% upside from current levels.

Is TRV stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 10.9554x, TRV trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $310.4 implies 0.8% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can TRV stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $322 for TRV, while the most conservative target is $295. The consensus of $310.4 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $436 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover TRV stock?

TRV is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 43 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 12 have Buy ratings, 27 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the TRV stock forecast?

The 12-month TRV stock forecast based on 43 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $310.4, with estimates ranging from $295 (bear case) to $322 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $331, with bear/bull scenarios of $209/$436.

What is TRV's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TRV's fair value at $331 (base case), with a bear case of $209 and bull case of $436. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.

What is TRV's forward P/E ratio?

TRV trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy TRV stock?

TRV appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $310.4 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do TRV price targets vary so much?

TRV analyst price targets range from $295 to $322, a 9% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $310.4 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $209-$436 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools