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MKLMarkel Corporation
$1847.16$23.1B
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MKL logo

Markel Corporation (MKL) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 15 analysts

5.6% Below Target

MKL trades 5.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $1950.00.

Current Price$1847.16
Average Target$1950.00
Low$1950.00
Median$1950.00
High$1950.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E16.6x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio0.67
(Undervalued)
Implied Growth-29.6%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$1847.16
Consensus$1950.00
High$1950.00
Low$1950.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes MKL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 16.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 15 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 15 published analyst recommendations for MKL

80% hold / mixed conviction
-10
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 15 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage15 Analysts
Net Score-10
Bull / Bear0% / 20%
Strong Buy00%
Buy00%
Hold1280%
Sell320%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
00%
Hold
1280%
Sell
320%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix0% Buy · 80% Hold · 20% Sell
Buy (0)Hold (12)Sell (3)

MKL Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, Markel Corporation (MKL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $1950.00, based on estimates from 15 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $1847.16, this represents a potential upside of +5.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $23.11B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $1950.00 to a high of $1950.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $1950.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 0 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,12 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.

From a valuation perspective, MKL trades at a trailing P/E of 10.9x and forward P/E of 16.6x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.67 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -29.6% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $1529.64, with bear and bull scenarios of $963.67 and $2015.46 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+9.8%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
11.8x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
9 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
RLI logo
RLIRLI Corp.
$4.9B$53.09$56.33
+6.1%
Hold19.2x12
ERIE logo
ERIEErie Indemnity Company
$10.2B$221.14———17.5x—
HCI logo
HCIHCI Group, Inc.
$2.1B$163.63$126.50
-22.7%
Buy9.4x14
KMPR logo
KMPRKemper Corporation
$1.5B$25.03$36.00
+43.8%
Buy12.1x12
WRB logo
WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation
$25.2B$67.18$69.10
+2.9%
Hold14.3x30
RNR logo
RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.
$12.9B$299.17$310.75
+3.9%
Hold7.3x28
ACGL logo
ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd.
$32.5B$91.18$102.57
+12.5%
Buy9.8x34
AXS logo
AXSAXIS Capital Holdings Limited
$7.4B$100.99$123.67
+22.5%
Buy7.6x29
HIG logo
HIGThe Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.
$35.3B$128.25$151.56
+18.2%
Buy10.0x42
TRV logo
TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.
$66.6B$307.81$310.40
+0.8%
Hold11.0x43

MKL — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MKL stock.

What is the MKL stock price target for 2026?

The consensus price target for MKL is $1950, close to the current price of $1847.16 (5.6% implied move). Based on 15 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

Is MKL a buy, sell, or hold?

MKL has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 15 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 3 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $1950 implies 5.6% upside from current levels.

Is MKL stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 16.6256x, MKL trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $1950 implies 5.6% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can MKL stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $1950 for MKL, while the most conservative target is $1950. The consensus of $1950 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2015 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover MKL stock?

MKL is well covered by analysts, with 15 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 0 have Buy ratings, 12 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the MKL stock forecast?

The 12-month MKL stock forecast based on 15 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $1950, with estimates ranging from $1950 (bear case) to $1950 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1530, with bear/bull scenarios of $964/$2015.

What is MKL's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MKL's fair value at $1530 (base case), with a bear case of $964 and bull case of $2015. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.

What is MKL's forward P/E ratio?

MKL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 10.9x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy MKL stock?

MKL appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $1950 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do MKL price targets vary so much?

MKL analyst price targets range from $1950 to $1950, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $1950 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $964-$2015 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into MKL consensus models and risk factors.

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DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.

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10-year return with dividends reinvested.

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Peer Comparison

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