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XP logoXP Inc. (XP) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026

Current Price
$18.79
Market reference
Price Target
$23.50
+25.1% Upside
Target Range
$22.00 — $25.00
High conviction
Analyst Rating
Buy
9 analysts
Forward P/E1.7x
Trailing P/E11.3x
Forward PEG0.05
Implied Growth+17.6%
Median Target$23.50
Analyst Spread12.8%

Analysts see +25.1% upside to their consensus target of $23.50. The bullish rating consensus aligns with positive price target gap.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$18.79
Consensus$23.50
High$25.00
Low$22.00
Model$173.36
Bear Case
$22
+17.1%
Consensus
$24
+25.1%
Bull Case
$25
+33.0%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 48/100
Bear$264
Base$173
Bull$10

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 9 published analyst recommendations for XP

7/9 analysts are bullish
+39
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 9 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage9 Analysts
Net Score+39
Bull / Bear78% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy778%
Hold222%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
778%
Hold
222%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix78% Buy · 22% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (7)Hold (2)Sell (0)

XP Price Target Analysis

Updated May 8, 2026

As of May 8, 2026, XP Inc. (XP) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $23.50, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $18.79, this represents a potential upside of +25.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.80B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $22.00 to a high of $25.00, representing a 13% spread in expectations. The median target of $23.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 7 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, XP trades at a trailing P/E of 11.3x and forward P/E of 1.7x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.05 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +17.6% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $173.36, with bear and bull scenarios of $263.89 and $9.86 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+30.5%
Avg Forward P/E17.5x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
MELI logoMELIMercadoLibre, Inc.$94.8B$1870.01$2420.00+29.4%Buy39.2x33
NU logoNUNu Holdings Ltd.$54.5B$14.26$20.48+43.6%Buy16.4x22
PAGS logoPAGSPagSeguro Digital Ltd.$1.7B$10.12$12.18+20.4%Buy1.1x24
STNE logoSTNEStoneCo Ltd.$2.7B$11.04$19.00+72.1%Buy1.0x21
SCHW logoSCHWThe Charles Schwab Corporation$159.0B$89.50$119.11+33.1%Buy14.9x50
IBKR logoIBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.$37.3B$83.71$87.67+4.7%Buy33.6x19
RJF logoRJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.$30.3B$153.55$169.00+10.1%Hold12.9x24
LPL logoLPLLG Display Co., Ltd.$4.3B$4.32——Hold0.0x14
HOOD logoHOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.$68.7B$76.28$117.14+53.6%Buy40.5x25
GS logoGSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.$287.6B$925.87$995.89+7.6%Hold15.6x55

Upside Potential Comparison

STNE logoSTNE
+72.1%
HOOD logoHOOD
+53.6%
NU logoNU
+43.6%
SCHW logoSCHW
+33.1%
MELI logoMELI
+29.4%
PAGS logoPAGS
+20.4%
RJF logoRJF
+10.1%
GS logoGS
+7.6%

See XP's True Return

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Is XP Undervalued?

DCF intrinsic value, peer multiples, and analyst estimates — see what the stock is really worth.

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Compare XP vs BRK-A

Side-by-side business, growth, and profitability comparison vs Berkshire Hathaway Inc..

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XP — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying XP stock.

What is the XP stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for XP is $23.5, representing 25.1% upside from the current price of $18.79. With 9 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is XP a buy, sell, or hold?

XP has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 7 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $23.5 implies 25.1% upside from current levels.

Is XP stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 1.6904x, XP trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $23.5 implies 25.1% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can XP stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $25 for XP, while the most conservative target is $22. The consensus of $23.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $10 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover XP stock?

XP is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 7 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the XP stock forecast?

The 12-month XP stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $23.5, with estimates ranging from $22 (bear case) to $25 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $173, with bear/bull scenarios of $264/$10.

What is XP's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates XP's fair value at $173 (base case), with a bear case of $264 and bull case of $10. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.

What is XP's forward P/E ratio?

XP trades at a forward P/E ratio of 1.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy XP stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on XP, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $23.5 price target (25.1% upside). 7 of 9 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do XP price targets vary so much?

XP analyst price targets range from $22 to $25, a 13% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $23.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $264-$10 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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