MELI trades 41.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $2140.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes MELI achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 39.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 34 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $2140.00, based on estimates from 34 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $1510.00, this represents a potential upside of +41.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $76.55B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $1750.00 to a high of $2450.00, representing a 33% spread in expectations. The median target of $2125.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 26 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,8 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, MELI trades at a trailing P/E of 38.3x and forward P/E of 39.6x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +3.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $2205.29, with bear and bull scenarios of $1389.33 and $2905.69 respectively. Model confidence stands at 47/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AMZNAmazon.com, Inc. | $2.8T | $259.30 | $328.48 | +26.7% | Buy | 20.2x | 96 |
 BABAAlibaba Group Holding Limited | $255.4B | $109.45 | $178.14 | +62.8% | Buy | 2.5x | 59 |
 SESea Limited | $45.5B | $75.73 | $132.75 | +75.3% | Buy | 20.9x | 44 |
 GRABGrab Holdings Limited | $13.5B | $3.41 | $5.96 | +74.8% | Buy | 26.1x | 12 |
 CPNGCoupang, Inc. | $29.3B | $16.29 | $25.08 | +54.0% | Buy | — | 16 |
 PYPLPayPal Holdings, Inc. | $52.3B | $59.24 | $55.88 | -5.7% | Hold | 10.6x | 70 |
 NUNu Holdings Ltd. | $58.3B | $12.03 | $17.36 | +44.3% | Buy | 13.8x | 23 |
 PAGSPagSeguro Digital Ltd. | $2.2B | $7.60 | $9.20 | +21.1% | Buy | 0.9x | 24 |
 STNEStoneCo Ltd. | $1.8B | $7.51 | $12.03 | +60.2% | Buy | 0.8x | 21 |
 SHOPShopify Inc. | $193.2B | $148.91 | $176.26 | +18.4% | Buy | 78.0x | 66 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying MELI stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for MELI is $2140, representing 41.7% upside from the current price of $1510. With 34 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
MELI has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 34 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 26 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $2140 implies 41.7% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 39.5504x, MELI trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $2140 (41.7% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $2450 for MELI, while the most conservative target is $1750. The consensus of $2140 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2906 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
MELI is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 34 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 25 have Buy ratings, 8 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month MELI stock forecast based on 34 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $2140, with estimates ranging from $1750 (bear case) to $2450 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $2205, with bear/bull scenarios of $1389/$2906.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates MELI's fair value at $2205 (base case), with a bear case of $1389 and bull case of $2906. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 47/100.
MELI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 39.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 38.3x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on MELI, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $2140 price target (41.7% upside). 26 of 34 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
MELI analyst price targets range from $1750 to $2450, a 33% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $2140 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1389-$2906 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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