XPEL trades 46.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $65.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes XPEL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 20.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $65.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $44.52, this represents a potential upside of +46.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.23B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $65.00 to a high of $65.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $65.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, XPEL trades at a trailing P/E of 24.1x and forward P/E of 20.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.88 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +11.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $60.07, with bear and bull scenarios of $37.84 and $79.15 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MPAAMotorcar Parts of America, Inc. | $200M | $10.56 | $16.00 | +51.5% | Buy | 14.1x | 7 |
 LCIILCI Industries | $2.1B | $85.03 | $123.83 | +45.6% | Hold | 10.0x | 15 |
 AAONAAON, Inc. | $6.7B | $82.36 | $122.67 | +48.9% | Buy | 35.0x | 5 |
 PKOHPark-Ohio Holdings Corp. | $674M | $46.81 | $59.00 | +26.0% | Buy | 14.3x | 8 |
 STRTStrattec Security Corporation | $280M | $66.98 | — | — | Hold | 10.8x | 1 |
 TSLATesla, Inc. | $1.5T | $380.12 | $462.77 | +21.7% | Hold | 224.9x | 82 |
 GMGeneral Motors Company | $75.8B | $83.77 | $101.00 | +20.6% | Buy | 6.2x | 51 |
 FFord Motor Company | $51.7B | $12.96 | $16.38 | +26.4% | Hold | 7.0x | 47 |
 ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $71.2B | $85.90 | $107.30 | +24.9% | Buy | 26.1x | 47 |
 AZOAutoZone, Inc. | $46.5B | $2843.34 | $3677.67 | +29.3% | Buy | 18.8x | 45 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying XPEL stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for XPEL is $65, representing 46.0% upside from the current price of $44.52. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
XPEL has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $65 implies 46.0% upside from current levels.
XPEL trades at a forward P/E of 20.2364x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $65 (46.0% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $65 for XPEL, while the most conservative target is $65. The consensus of $65 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $79 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
XPEL is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month XPEL stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $65, with estimates ranging from $65 (bear case) to $65 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $60, with bear/bull scenarios of $38/$79.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates XPEL's fair value at $60 (base case), with a bear case of $38 and bull case of $79. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
XPEL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 20.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 24.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on XPEL, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $65 price target (46.0% upside). 5 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
XPEL analyst price targets range from $65 to $65, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $65 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $38-$79 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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