XPEL trades 69.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $65.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes XPEL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 17.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, XPEL, Inc. (XPEL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $65.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $38.39, this represents a potential upside of +69.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.06B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $65.00 to a high of $65.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $65.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, XPEL trades at a trailing P/E of 18.3x and forward P/E of 17.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.76 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +11.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $52.79, with bear and bull scenarios of $33.26 and $69.56 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MPAAMotorcar Parts of America, Inc. | $199M | $10.52 | $16.00 | +52.1% | Buy | 14.0x | 7 |
 LCIILCI Industries | $2.4B | $97.81 | $105.67 | +8.0% | Hold | 11.6x | 15 |
 AAONAAON, Inc. | $4.7B | $57.19 | $122.67 | +114.5% | Buy | 24.1x | 5 |
 PKOHPark-Ohio Holdings Corp. | $625M | $43.39 | $59.00 | +36.0% | Buy | 13.3x | 8 |
 STRTStrattec Security Corporation | $259M | $61.96 | $79.00 | +27.5% | Buy | 10.0x | 1 |
 TSLATesla, Inc. | $1.4T | $358.22 | $442.59 | +23.6% | Buy | 212.9x | 83 |
 GMGeneral Motors Company | $77.9B | $86.16 | $100.91 | +17.1% | Buy | 6.4x | 51 |
 FFord Motor Company | $49.6B | $12.44 | $15.56 | +25.1% | Hold | 6.5x | 47 |
 ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $74.5B | $89.89 | $102.88 | +14.5% | Buy | 27.1x | 47 |
 AZOAutoZone, Inc. | $52.6B | $3216.35 | $3600.25 | +11.9% | Buy | 21.4x | 45 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying XPEL stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for XPEL is $65, representing 69.3% upside from the current price of $38.39. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
XPEL has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $65 implies 69.3% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 17.45x, XPEL trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $65 implies 69.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $65 for XPEL, while the most conservative target is $65. The consensus of $65 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $70 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
XPEL is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month XPEL stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $65, with estimates ranging from $65 (bear case) to $65 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $53, with bear/bull scenarios of $33/$70.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates XPEL's fair value at $53 (base case), with a bear case of $33 and bull case of $70. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.
XPEL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 17.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 18.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on XPEL, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $65 price target (69.3% upside). 5 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
XPEL analyst price targets range from $65 to $65, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $65 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $33-$70 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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