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TSLA logo

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 81 analysts

12.5% Below Target

TSLA trades 12.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $450.45.

Current Price$400.49
Average Target$450.45
Target
Current
Low$360.00
Median$450.00
High$548.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E212.2x
(High Premium)
PEG Ratio5.48
(Expensive)
Implied Growth+72.3%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread41.7%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$400.49
Consensus$450.45
High$548.00
Low$360.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes TSLA achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 212.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 81 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 81 published analyst recommendations for TSLA

42% hold / mixed conviction
+10
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 81 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage81 Analysts
Net Score+10
Bull / Bear40% / 19%
Strong Buy00%
Buy3240%
Hold3442%
Sell1519%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
3240%
Hold
3442%
Sell
1519%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix40% Buy · 42% Hold · 19% Sell
Buy (32)Hold (34)Sell (15)

TSLA Price Target Analysis

Updated June 22, 2026

As of June 22, 2026, Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $450.45, based on estimates from 81 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $400.49, this represents a potential upside of +12.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.50T.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $360.00 to a high of $548.00, representing a 42% spread in expectations. The median target of $450.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 32 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,34 rating it Hold, and 15 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, TSLA trades at a trailing P/E of 370.8x and forward P/E of 212.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 5.48 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +72.3% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $98.51, with bear and bull scenarios of $62.06 and $129.80 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+7.1%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
772.4x
(High Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
GM logo
GMGeneral Motors Company
$71.5B$79.29$93.82
+18.3%
Buy6.2x51
F logo
FFord Motor Company
$55.0B$14.04$14.76
+5.1%
Hold8.4x46
RIVN logo
RIVNRivian Automotive, Inc.
$20.4B$16.52$17.30
+4.7%
Buy—29
LCID logo
LCIDLucid Group, Inc.
$1.8B$5.36$6.00
+11.9%
Hold—15
NIO logo
NIONIO Inc.
$11.8B$5.02$6.54
+30.3%
Buy—24
STLA logo
STLAStellantis N.V.
$18.4B$6.34$10.56
+66.6%
Hold8.6x14
ENPH logo
ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc.
$6.9B$52.28$47.61
-8.9%
Hold25.9x55
SEDG logo
SEDGSolarEdge Technologies, Inc.
$3.5B$58.05$34.50
-40.6%
Hold4570.9x48
FSLR logo
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.
$27.7B$257.70$254.92
-1.1%
Buy14.6x73
CHPT logo
CHPTChargePoint Holdings, Inc.
$215M$8.31$7.00
-15.8%
Hold—21

TSLA — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TSLA stock.

What is the TSLA stock price target for 2026?

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a consensus 12-month price target of $450.45, implying 12.5% upside from $400.49. The 81 analysts covering TSLA see moderate appreciation potential.

Is TSLA a buy, sell, or hold?

TSLA has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 81 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 34 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $450.45 implies 12.5% upside from current levels.

Is TSLA stock overvalued or undervalued?

At a forward P/E of 212.2139x, TSLA trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $450.45 (12.5% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.

How high can TSLA stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $548 for TSLA, while the most conservative target is $360. The consensus of $450.45 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $130 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover TSLA stock?

TSLA is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 81 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 32 have Buy ratings, 34 recommend Hold, and 15 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the TSLA stock forecast?

The 12-month TSLA stock forecast based on 81 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $450.45, with estimates ranging from $360 (bear case) to $548 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $99, with bear/bull scenarios of $62/$130.

What is TSLA's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TSLA's fair value at $99 (base case), with a bear case of $62 and bull case of $130. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.

What is TSLA's forward P/E ratio?

TSLA trades at a forward P/E ratio of 212.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 370.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy TSLA stock?

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on TSLA, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $450.45 price target (12.5% upside). 32 of 81 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do TSLA price targets vary so much?

TSLA analyst price targets range from $360 to $548, a 42% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $450.45 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $62-$130 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into TSLA consensus models and risk factors.

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Wall Street verdict, signals, and target summaries.

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Peer Comparison

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