AAON, Inc. (AAON) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 5 analysts13.0% Above Target
AAON trades 13.0% above Wall Street's consensus target of $119.00.
Current Price$136.72
Average Target$119.00
Target
Current
Low$118.00
Median$119.00
High$120.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E60.4x
(High Premium)
PEG Ratio11.11
(Expensive)
Implied Growth+59.4%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread1.7%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes AAON achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 60.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
AAON Price Target Analysis
Updated June 22, 2026As of June 22, 2026, AAON, Inc. (AAON) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $119.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $136.72, this represents a potential downside of -13.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $11.20B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $118.00 to a high of $120.00, representing a 2% spread in expectations. The median target of $119.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, AAON trades at a trailing P/E of 106.0x and forward P/E of 60.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 11.11 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +59.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $106.88, with bear and bull scenarios of $67.34 and $140.83 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+5.0%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
29.7x
(Growth Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LIILennox International Inc. | $18.5B | $532.43 | $556.30 | +4.5% | Hold | 21.9x | 30 |
 CARRCarrier Global Corporation | $60.0B | $71.81 | $68.86 | -4.1% | Buy | 25.6x | 26 |
 TTTrane Technologies plc | $107.0B | $483.40 | $525.00 | +8.6% | Hold | 32.4x | 26 |
 JCIJohnson Controls International plc | $88.4B | $144.82 | $156.40 | +8.0% | Buy | 29.6x | 45 |
 MODModine Manufacturing Company | $15.7B | $297.37 | $358.17 | +20.4% | Buy | 57.4x | 13 |
 NDSNNordson Corporation | $16.5B | $295.92 | $323.80 | +9.4% | Buy | 25.5x | 21 |
 GTLSChart Industries, Inc. | $10.0B | $207.99 | $193.81 | -6.8% | Buy | 29.9x | 37 |
 HONHoneywell International Inc. | $145.1B | $229.01 | $249.64 | +9.0% | Buy | 21.8x | 28 |
 EMREmerson Electric Co. | $84.4B | $150.66 | $162.29 | +7.7% | Buy | 23.2x | 41 |
 GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc. | $64.5B | $1365.41 | $1275.38 | -6.6% | Hold | 29.9x | 38 |
AAON — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AAON stock.
What is the AAON stock price target for 2026?
AAON's consensus price target is $119, -13.0% below the current price of $136.72. The 5 analysts tracking AAON see downside risk at present valuations.
Is AAON a buy, sell, or hold?
AAON has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $119 implies -13.0% downside from current levels.
Is AAON stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 60.3887x, AAON trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $119 (-13.0% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
How high can AAON stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $120 for AAON, while the most conservative target is $118. The consensus of $119 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $141 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover AAON stock?
AAON is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the AAON stock forecast?
The 12-month AAON stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $119, with estimates ranging from $118 (bear case) to $120 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $107, with bear/bull scenarios of $67/$141.
What is AAON's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AAON's fair value at $107 (base case), with a bear case of $67 and bull case of $141. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
What is AAON's forward P/E ratio?
AAON trades at a forward P/E ratio of 60.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 106.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy AAON stock?
Analysts are cautious on AAON, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $119 (-13.0% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do AAON price targets vary so much?
AAON analyst price targets range from $118 to $120, a 2% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $119 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $67-$141 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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