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AHLASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LTD
$37.32
Financials
WATCHLIST
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

AHL has elite growth earnings but broke out 4 month(s) ago at $36.63. Now +2% extended - wait for pullback. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

Elite earnings but entry missed - wait for setup

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

+2%
Q4'24
$3.89
-80%
Q1'25
$0.33
-58%
Q2'25
$0.39
+70%
Q3'25
$1.21
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$37.32
✓
→
50 DMA
$37.02
✓
→
100 DMA
$36.77
✓
→
150 DMA
$34.76
→
200 DMA
N/A
Alignment Score: 3/4

AHL Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
62 (Top 38%)→>80 (Top 20%)
Pattern
No base forming→VCP or constructive base
RSI (14)
73 (ELEVATED)→<70 for safe entry

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on AHL, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
62/99
Top 38% (Need 80+)
Trend
Insufficient Data
RSI (14)
73
ELEVATED
VCP Setup
NONE
No pattern
Volume
1.3M
+335% vs avg
From Entry
+1.9%
$36.63

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
+70%
Accelerating
EPS 3Y CAGR
+112%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+3%
WEAK
F-Score
5/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
15%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
33/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Stalled Breakout

Broke out 4 months ago at $36.63 — flat from entry (+1.9%).

Breakout has stalled. Wait for new momentum or a fresh base pattern to develop.

Breakout Date2025-08-27142 days ago
Entry Was$36.63Breakout price
Gain Since+2%From entry
Reclaim$37.1621 EMA support

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >85
THEN: Upgrade to PRIORITY WATCHLIST
IF: Deep pullback to 50 DMA or 10/21 EMA
THEN: Consider adding (original entry was $36.63)
IF: New VCP base forms after consolidation
THEN: Re-evaluate for fresh breakout entry
IF: RS Rating drops below 60
THEN: Remove from watchlist - momentum failing
IF: Next earnings confirms >40% EPS growth
THEN: Maintain high priority status

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$37.37+0.1%
Current$37.32

Support

  • 20 DMA$37.15-0.5%
  • 50 DMA$37.02-0.8%
  • 52W Low$27.05-27.5%

More AHL Analysis

Fundamental Analysis →Intrinsic Value →Total Return Calculator →

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is AHL stock a buy now?

AHL has elite growth earnings but broke out 4 month(s) ago at $36.63. Now +2% extended - wait for pullback. Set a price alert and revisit when conditions improve.

What is the buy point for AHL?

AHL broke out at $36.63 4 month(s) ago but has stalled (flat). Wait for fresh momentum or new base pattern.

What is AHL's RS Rating?

AHL has an RS Rating of 62/99, meaning it's in the Top 38% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.