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HOVHovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
$125.47
Financials
AVOID
Analysis updated: Jan 16, 2026

Investment Thesis

HOV is a market laggard (RS 49/99, Top 51%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

Weak relative strength + ordinary growth = Pass

Key Takeaways

Earnings Momentum

-251%
Q4'24
$-19.22
+23%
Q1'25
$3.58
-64%
Q2'25
$2.43
-80%
Q3'25
$1.99
Earnings Declining

Price Structure

Partial Alignment
Price
$125.47
✓
→
50 DMA
$112.72
→
100 DMA
$123.75
✓
→
150 DMA
$122.64
✓
→
200 DMA
$116.39
Alignment Score: 3/4

HOV Price Chart

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50 DMA150 DMA200 DMA
LEADERSHIP TEST FAILED

RS Rating 49/99 is in Bottom 49% of market. Minervini target: Top 20% (RS 80+)

Why Not BUY Yet?

RS Rating
49 (Top 51%)→>80 (Top 20%)
EPS Growth
-80%→>25% Qtr YoY
Pattern
No base forming→VCP or constructive base

What Would Change Our Mind?

To turn bullish on HOV, we need:

Twin Engines Dashboard

Technical Health

RS Rating
49/99
Top 51% (Need 80+)
Trend
Uptrend
Above 200 DMA
RSI (14)
64
BULLISH
VCP Setup
COOL
Score: 3/9
Volume
76K
-32% vs avg
From Entry
+3.0%
$121.84

Fundamental Horsepower

EPS Qtr YoY
-80%
Declining
EPS 3Y CAGR
-28%
Annual Earnings
Revenue Qtr
+11%
Accelerating
F-Score
5/9
Piotroski Quality
ROE
35%
Return on Equity
EPS Rank
12/99
Percentile

Trade Plan

Stalled Breakout

Broke out 6 months ago at $121.84 — up modestly (+3%) from entry.

Breakout has stalled. Wait for new momentum or a fresh base pattern to develop.

Breakout Date2025-07-10190 days ago
Entry Was$121.84Breakout price
Gain Since+3%From entry
Reclaim$111.4321 EMA support

If/Then Playbook

IF: RS Rating improves to >80
THEN: Re-evaluate for WATCHLIST
IF: Price closes below 200 DMA
THEN: Remove from radar entirely
IF: EPS growth accelerates to >40% next quarter
THEN: Reassess as potential turnaround

Key Price Levels

Resistance

  • 52W High$162.06+29.2%
Current$125.47

Support

  • 200 DMA$116.39-7.2%
  • 50 DMA$112.72-10.2%
  • 20 DMA$106.69-15.0%

More HOV Analysis

Fundamental Analysis →Intrinsic Value →Total Return Calculator →

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is HOV stock a buy now?

HOV is a market laggard (RS 49/99, Top 51%) with declining fundamentals. avoid chasing - protect capital. Smart traders skip this one until the setup improves.

What is the buy point for HOV?

HOV broke out at $121.84 6 month(s) ago but has stalled (+3%). Wait for fresh momentum or new base pattern.

What is HOV's RS Rating?

HOV has an RS Rating of 49/99, meaning it's in the Top 51% of all stocks for relative price performance over the past 12 months. Minervini recommends RS 80+ for momentum trades.

Important Disclosure: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Technical and fundamental indicators are based on historical data and do not guarantee future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.