MODEL VERDICT
AgriFORCE Growing Systems Ltd. (AGRI)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 14 industry peers | $0.85 | -59.0% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 14 industry peers | $2.90 | +39.8% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $1.73 | -16.6% | 100% | 43 | OVERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/B Ratio | 13.74 | 9.43 | 0.57 | 35.51 | 16.46 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 3 valuation metrics, the model estimates AGRI's fair value at $1.73 vs the current price of $2.08, implying -16.6% downside potential. Model verdict: Overvalued. Confidence: 43/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $1.73 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%).
AGRI's current P/E of -0.1x compares to the industry median of 22.1x (11 peers in the group). This represents a -100.2% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
2 analysts cover AGRI with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is N/A (range: N/A — N/A), implying N/A upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (2), Hold (0), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 43/100, based on: data completeness (0), peer quality (25), historical depth (10), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for AGRI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.