MODEL VERDICT
Churchill Capital Corp IX Warrant (CCIXW)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, competitive benchmarking & quality-adjusted fair value
Churchill Capital Corp IX Warrant is currently trading at a 1115.69% discount to its peer-implied fair value.
16 industry peers matched by industry sector due to narrow curated coverage
| Ticker | Company | Market Cap | P/E | EV/EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIG | GigCapital7 Corp. | $24.41B | 46.91x | - |
| APXT | Apex Treasury Corporation Class A | $1.88B | 67x | 35.8x |
| SMAP | Amplify Small-Mid Cap Equity ETF | $914M | -240.95x | - |
| ANSC | Agriculture & Natural Solutions Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares | $474M | 47.56x | - |
| CGCT | Cartesian Growth Corporation III | $399M | 57.84x | - |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | $391M | 32.97x | - |
| GPAT | GP-Act III Acquisition Corp. | $391M | 26.54x | - |
| MBAV | M3-Brigade Acquisition V Corp. Class A Ordinary shares | $389M | 54.1x | - |
| TACH | Titan Acquisition Corp. | $359M | 38.56x | - |
| DMAA | Drugs Made In America Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares | $359M | 56x | - |
| CCII | Cohen Circle Acquisition Corp. II | $359M | 79.54x | - |
| AXIN | Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp 1 | $351M | 51.7x | - |
2 valuation metrics · peer-median based
| Multiple | Current | Peer Median | vs Peers | Implied Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/EPrice paid for current earnings. | 2.83x | 47.56x | Discount -94.06% | $12.14 |
| EV/EBITDAEnterprise value versus operating cash earnings proxy. | 13.74x | 123.05x | Discount -88.83% | $5.82 |
How the model derives the final fair value from peer baselines and quality metrics
Opportunity: The stock is trading at a 91.77% discount to its quality-adjusted fair value of $7.90. To reach its estimated fair value, the stock would need to appreciate by 1115.75% from its current price of $0.65.
Quality metrics trail the peer group, warranting a discount.
Quality adjustments are capped at ±15% (up to ±20% for financial services) to prevent runaway premiums. Based on trailing twelve months and multi-year CAGR data where available.
How current multiples rank vs 2 years of the stock’s own history
| Multiple | Current | Historical Median | Percentile | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E2 years of data | 2.83x | 2.71x | 50th | Normal vs history |
Churchill Capital Corp IX Warrant trades within its historical valuation range.
Model-identified caveats to consider
CCIXW looks cheap versus peers using industry peers, with relative upside of 1115.7%.
Answers to common questions about CCIXW's relative valuation and our methodology.
Churchill Capital Corp IX Warrant's fair value of $7.90 is the price at which the stock would trade if valued at the same multiples as its 16-company peer group, adjusted for differences in business quality. At $0.65, the stock trades at a +1115.38% discount to fair value. This is a reference point, not a price target.
Peers were grouped by industry classification and market capitalization. The 16 companies shown are the closest comparable names with clean, usable financial data.
Churchill Capital Corp IX Warrant has challenges in roic, and a quality score that warrants a 12% discount relative to its peer group. The Quality Adjustment section breaks down each driver.
No. This page provides an automated quantitative comparison of Churchill Capital Corp IX Warrant against its peers. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation. Valuation is only one factor in an investment decision — it does not account for growth catalysts, management quality, regulatory risk, or your personal financial situation.
A 1115.38% discount is substantial. Large discounts may signal that the market is overlooking value, but they can also reflect genuine business challenges or structural headwinds. Review the Risk Factors and Historical Context sections to assess whether the gap is justified.
Valuation data is refreshed weekly based on the latest financial filings, market prices, and analyst estimates. Churchill Capital Corp IX Warrant's fair value, peer multiples, and quality scores will shift over time as new earnings are reported and stock prices change.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Fair value estimates are model outputs under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.