MODEL VERDICT
SportsMap Tech Acquisition Corp. (SMAP)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.12 | $26.35 | CURRENT | — |
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.12 | $26.09 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.12 | $26.36 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.12 | $25.84 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.12 | $25.86 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book 5 industry peers | $0.15 | -99.4% | 25% | B | Model Driven |
| Price / Tangible Book 2 bank peers | $0.56 | -97.9% | 20% | B+ | Bank Primary |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $4.42 | -83.2% | 100% | 39 | SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 131.43 | 0.99 | 0.51 | 392.79 | 226.34 |
| P/B Ratio | 131.43 | 0.99 | 0.51 | 392.79 | 226.34 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 6 valuation metrics, the model estimates SMAP's fair value at $4.42 vs the current price of $26.35, implying -83.2% downside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Overvalued. Confidence: 39/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $4.42 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%).
SMAP's current P/E of -239.5x compares to the industry median of 65.3x (2 peers in the group). This represents a -466.6% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
No analyst coverage data is available for SMAP.
The model confidence score is 39/100, based on: data completeness (0), peer quality (22), historical depth (10), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows weak agreement across inputs — interpret with caution.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for SMAP.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.