Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$69.55
→
Intrinsic$254.53
+266%
$172.90$254.53$409.69
Market implies 1% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests EEFT could have 266% upside at 11% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $70, the market prices in only 1% growth — below historical 11%, suggesting low expectations.
Range: Bear $173 → Bull $410. Current price implies expectations below the bear case — very conservative expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $304 | $332 | $361 | $393 |
| 10% | $215 | $234 | $255 | $276 |
| 12% | $166 | $180 | $195 | $212 |
| 14% | $135 | $146 | $158 | $171 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($410) offers 489% upside at 13% growth, 9% discount
- Price below even worst-case scenario — strong margin of safety
- Market-implied growth (1%) ≤ historical CAGR (11%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($173) with 8% growth, 12% discount rate
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$680.41M
Year 2$752.04M
Year 3$831.21M
Year 4$918.72M
Year 5$1.02B
Terminal$14.94B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate10.5%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$615.60MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.