FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP)
Valuation Overview•Is FTAI Infrastructure Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
Fragile underlying quality score of 18/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Mixed fundamental profile with offsetting strengths and weaknesses.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven by a balanced mix of reliable dividends and share buybacks.
FIP struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. However, this is severely offset by a highly leveraged balance sheet (Debt/EBITDA > 4.0x) and elevated financial risk.
The company is driving exceptional top-line expansion (24.3% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. Operating efficiency remains adequate with margins around 7.7%.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $188.4M | +51.6% | +24.3% | +48.9% | — | |
| EBITDA | $53.5M | — | +79.1% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$113.0M | +52.1% | +11.3% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-1.32 | +16.9% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$115.9M | -307.0% | -15.4% | -6.3% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 20.5% | 34.3% | 38.3% | 12.9% |
| Operating Margin | 7.7% | -3.7% | -14.8% | -27.2% |
| Net Margin | -59.1% | -42.2% | -50.3% | -47.1% |
| FCF Margin | -24.8% | -46.3% | -81.3% | -142.8% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $-0.42 | $-1.32 | -214.3% | ||
| Q1'26 | $-0.43 | $-1.08 | -153.1% | ||
| Q4'25 | $-0.59 | $-1.38 | -133.9% | ||
| Q3'25 | $-0.37 | $-0.73 | -99.1% | ||
| Q2'25 | $-0.29 | $0.89 | +406.9% | ||
| Q1'25 | $-0.37 | $-0.74 | -100.0% | ||
| Q4'24 | $-0.40 | $-0.45 | -12.5% | ||
| Q3'24 | $-0.36 | $-0.52 | -44.4% |
Total return is -22.6% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -43.4%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -2.4% | -9.7% | — |
| 1Y | -22.6% | -43.4% | +1.9% |
| 3YCAGR | +14.4% | -5.1% | +10.7% |
| 5YCAGR | +11.4% | -0.4% | +15.0% |
| 10YCAGR | +5.6% | -8.3% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, FTAI Infrastructure Inc. appears Limited: Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers.
FTAI Infrastructure Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $1.69 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $11.67 (implying +135.8% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
FTAI Infrastructure Inc. displays poor financial health with a composite quality score of 18/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of -0.8 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 0.9%.
FTAI Infrastructure Inc. pays a 2.4% dividend yield, covered by a 0% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 76.4% buyback yield.
FTAI Infrastructure Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +51.6% 1Y revenue growth and +16.9% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +24.3%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 4 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 8% of recent quarters with a -4-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +135.8% change from current levels.
Investment risks for FTAI Infrastructure Inc. include: -44.4% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (2.19x market volatility), elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 2.19x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.