MODEL VERDICT
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (FIS)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $46.53 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $45.73 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $48.50 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $48.32 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | MODERATE | 0.69 | $43.37 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 7 analyst estimates | $48.80 | +4.9% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 7 industry peers | $80.47 | +72.9% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| Industry Median P/E 7 industry peers | $15.02 | -67.7% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Free Cash Flow 7 industry peers | $81.61 | +75.4% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 7 industry peers | $57.19 | +22.9% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 7 industry peers | $83.95 | +80.4% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| Peg Ratio 6 industry peers | $29.14 | -37.4% | 5% | B | Data |
| EV To Revenue 7 industry peers | $66.48 | +42.9% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 7 industry peers | $50.69 | +8.9% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Earnings Yield 7 industry peers | $14.42 | -69.0% | 2% | B | Data |
| FCF Yield 6 industry peers | $82.54 | +77.4% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $76.33 | +64.0% | 100% | 81 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 52× | 57× | 62× (Current) | 67× | 72× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (10%) | $43 | $47 | $51 | $55 | $59 |
| Conservative (16%) | $45 | $50 | $54 | $58 | $63 |
| Base Case (24.4%) | $49 | $53 | $58 | $63 | $67 |
| Bull Case (33%) | $52 | $57 | $62 | $67 | $72 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 215.98 | 162.55 | 56.88 | 561.35 | 202.30 |
| EV/EBIT | 75.19 | 49.18 | 33.70 | 177.45 | 52.37 |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.16 | 16.12 | 10.41 | 20.41 | 3.39 |
| P/FCF | 20.26 | 19.05 | 8.41 | 39.65 | 10.70 |
| P/FFO | 18.07 | 15.29 | 14.07 | 22.91 | 4.43 |
| P/AFFO | 20.20 | 18.91 | 16.34 | 24.68 | 4.17 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.27 | 2.86 | 0.58 |
| Div Yield | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| P/S Ratio | 4.79 | 4.43 | 3.23 | 7.07 | 1.36 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 28 valuation metrics, the model estimates FIS's fair value at $76.33 vs the current price of $46.53, implying +64.0% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 81/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $76.33 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $65.29 (P10) to $100.26 (P90), with a median of $81.76.
FIS's current P/E of 62.0x compares to the industry median of 20.0x (7 peers in the group). This represents a +209.7% premium to the industry. The historical average P/E is 216.0x over 5 years. Signal: High Premium.
37 analysts cover FIS with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $67.38 (range: $50.00 — $85.00), implying +44.8% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (1), Buy (21), Hold (14), Sell (1), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 81/100, based on: data completeness (30), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (4), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows strong agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for FIS.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.