Gold Fields Limited (GFI)
Estimates & Forecasts•Proprietary EPS, revenue & margin forecasts — FY+1 to FY+4
Popular:
GFI Price Targets Summary| Metric | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income | $711M | $703M | $1.2B | $3.2B | $3.5B | $3.9B | $5.0B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.77 | $0.77 | $1.38 | $3.57 | $3.92 | $4.38 | $5.60 |
| YoY Growth | — | -1.1% | +77.0% | +157.1% | +9.7% | +11.9% | +27.8% |
| Net Margin | 16.6% | 15.6% | 23.9% | 25.9% | 25.6% | 22.9% | 22.8% |
USD · GFI · Proprietary Model| Metric | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.2B | $12.4B | $13.7B | $17.2B | $22.0B |
| Net Income | $1.2B | $3.2B | $3.5B | $3.9B | $5.0B |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.38 | $3.57 | $3.92 | $4.38 | $5.60 |
| Free Cash Flow | $709M | $2.0B | $2.2B | $2.8B | $3.6B |
Treat point estimates cautiously; use wider scenario ranges and position sizing discipline.
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GFI stock.
Gold Fields Limited's projected EPS for the next fiscal year is $3.57. This estimate blends our quantitative model with Wall Street analyst consensus and carries a confidence score of 37/100. The model factors in revenue trajectory, margin path, and share buyback trends to arrive at this figure.
Our scenario-based model produces three price targets for Gold Fields Limited: Bear case $24, Base case $119, and Bull case $114. These targets are derived by applying the median historical P/E ratio to forward EPS estimates under each growth scenario. They are not buy/sell recommendations.
Gold Fields Limited's projected revenue growth for the next fiscal year is 13.2%, reaching approximately $12.4B in total revenue. Growth estimates are probability-weighted and blend analyst consensus with our CAGR extrapolation model. Outer years (FY+3, FY+4) fade toward industry median growth rates.
Accuracy depends on several measurable factors. Our model confidence score of 37/100 is computed from revenue predictability (25% weight), margin stability (20%), historical earnings beat rate (20%), data depth (15%), analyst coverage (10%), and model-consensus agreement (10%). Stable margins provide a consistent baseline. No forecast model is perfect — always cross-reference with your own analysis.
Gold Fields Limited's forward operating margin is estimated at 39.8% for the next fiscal year. The margin trend is currently "stable". Our model tracks margin mean-reversion patterns and adjusts for sector-specific cost dynamics. Operating leverage is a key driver of EPS growth beyond top-line revenue expansion.
The v2 model uses a multi-step process: (1) Revenue is projected via blended CAGR with probability weighting, (2) Operating and net margins follow a mean-reversion path calibrated to sector norms, (3) EPS is derived from net income divided by projected diluted shares (accounting for buyback trends), (4) For FY+1 and FY+2, estimates are blended with analyst consensus based on coverage depth, (5) Price targets apply median historical P/E to forward EPS under bear/base/bull growth scenarios. All inputs are from public filings and third-party data providers.
The bear case ($24) assumes P25 revenue growth, worst-case margins, and multiple compression. Key risks include: unexpected margin contraction, revenue deceleration below model floor, regulatory headwinds, macro deterioration, or competitive disruption. A confidence score below 60 suggests higher estimate volatility. Always size positions according to the full scenario range, not just the base case.
Our model is below Wall Street consensus with a 39.2% gap. For FY+1, analyst estimates blend with our model at 15% analyst weight. By FY+3 and FY+4, estimates are purely model-driven as analyst coverage thins out at longer horizons.