G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII)
Estimates & Forecasts•Proprietary EPS, revenue & margin forecasts — FY+1 to FY+4
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GIII Price Targets Summary| Metric | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E | 2030E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income | $176M | $194M | $67M | $82M | $80M | $82M | $84M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $3.75 | $4.20 | $1.51 | $1.90 | $1.92 | $2.04 | $2.17 |
| YoY Growth | — | +9.9% | -65.2% | +21.3% | -2.6% | +2.5% | +2.8% |
| Net Margin | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% |
USD · GIII · Proprietary Model| Metric | 2026A | 2027E | 2028E | 2029E | 2030E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.0B | $2.9B | $2.8B | $2.7B | $2.7B |
| Net Income | $67M | $82M | $80M | $82M | $84M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $1.51 | $1.90 | $1.92 | $2.04 | $2.17 |
| Free Cash Flow | — | $94M | $99M | $103M | $106M |
Forecast is usable, but expect normal estimate drift around earnings and macro events.
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GIII stock.
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.'s projected EPS for the next fiscal year is $1.90. This estimate blends our quantitative model with Wall Street analyst consensus and carries a confidence score of 56/100. The model factors in revenue trajectory, margin path, and share buyback trends to arrive at this figure.
Our scenario-based model produces three price targets for G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.: Bear case $20, Base case $41, and Bull case $85. These targets are derived by applying the median historical P/E ratio to forward EPS estimates under each growth scenario. They are not buy/sell recommendations.
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.'s projected revenue growth for the next fiscal year is -2.3%, reaching approximately $2.9B in total revenue. Growth estimates are probability-weighted and blend analyst consensus with our CAGR extrapolation model. Outer years (FY+3, FY+4) fade toward industry median growth rates.
Accuracy depends on several measurable factors. Our model confidence score of 56/100 is computed from revenue predictability (25% weight), margin stability (20%), historical earnings beat rate (20%), data depth (15%), analyst coverage (10%), and model-consensus agreement (10%). Contracting margins add uncertainty to forward projections. No forecast model is perfect — always cross-reference with your own analysis.
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.'s forward operating margin is estimated at 5.8% for the next fiscal year. The margin trend is currently "contracting". Our model tracks margin mean-reversion patterns and adjusts for sector-specific cost dynamics. Operating leverage is a key driver of EPS growth beyond top-line revenue expansion.
The v2 model uses a multi-step process: (1) Revenue is projected via blended CAGR with probability weighting, (2) Operating and net margins follow a mean-reversion path calibrated to sector norms, (3) EPS is derived from net income divided by projected diluted shares (accounting for buyback trends), (4) For FY+1 and FY+2, estimates are blended with analyst consensus based on coverage depth, (5) Price targets apply median historical P/E to forward EPS under bear/base/bull growth scenarios. All inputs are from public filings and third-party data providers.
The bear case ($20) assumes P25 revenue growth, worst-case margins, and multiple compression. Key risks include: unexpected margin contraction, revenue deceleration below model floor, regulatory headwinds, macro deterioration, or competitive disruption. A confidence score below 60 suggests higher estimate volatility. Always size positions according to the full scenario range, not just the base case.
Our model is below Wall Street consensus with a 34.4% gap. For FY+1, analyst estimates blend with our model at 15% analyst weight. By FY+3 and FY+4, estimates are purely model-driven as analyst coverage thins out at longer horizons.