MODEL VERDICT
iShares Inc. (POWR)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.16 | $28.02 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 24, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.16 | $27.46 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 17, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.16 | $26.78 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.16 | $26.53 | CURRENT | — |
| Apr 10, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.16 | $27.01 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Median P/E 13 industry peers | $6.11 | -78.2% | 30% | A | Peer Data |
| Price / Book 13 industry peers | $13.82 | -50.7% | 25% | B | Model Driven |
| Price / Tangible Book 13 bank peers | $10.85 | -61.3% | 20% | B+ | Bank Primary |
| Earnings Yield 13 industry peers | $6.11 | -78.2% | 8% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $10.23 | -63.5% | 100% | 62 | SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 90× | 99× | 108× (Current) | 117× | 126× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (16%) | $27 | $30 | $32 | $35 | $38 |
| Conservative (25%) | $29 | $32 | $35 | $38 | $41 |
| Base Case (39.1%) | $33 | $36 | $39 | $42 | $46 |
| Bull Case (53%) | $36 | $39 | $43 | $46 | $50 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 8 valuation metrics, the model estimates POWR's fair value at $10.23 vs the current price of $28.02, implying -63.5% downside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Overvalued. Confidence: 62/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $10.23 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $8.46 (P10) to $10.68 (P90), with a median of $9.57.
POWR's current P/E of 107.8x compares to the industry median of 23.5x (13 peers in the group). This represents a +358.6% premium to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: High Premium.
No analyst coverage data is available for POWR.
The model confidence score is 62/100, based on: data completeness (24), peer quality (25), historical depth (5), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk refers to the possibility that POWR's current profitability is above its sustainable long-term trend. The model detects a margin Z-score of -0.4σ, meaning margins are 0.4 standard deviations below their historical average. If margins revert to the 7-year mean (4.0%), the model estimates fair value drops by 20560.0% to approximately $86. This isn't a prediction — it's a scenario analysis.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.