Prairie Operating Co. (PROP)
Valuation Overview•Is Prairie Operating Co. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Moderate quality score of 51/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant solvency concerns.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside. However, capital return yields remain modest, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
PROP demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company maintains stable top-line performance paired with stable bottom-line earnings. This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 29.9% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $83.4M | +2943.8% | — | — | +26.0% | |
| EBITDA | $42.1M | — | — | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$152.7M | +178.3% | — | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-2.16 | +49.1% | — | — | +29.9% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $8.2M | -12.0% | -79.4% | -103.9% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 50.3% | 55.3% | 44.8% | 27.7% |
| Operating Margin | 29.9% | -152.7% | -1743.3% | -730.8% |
| Net Margin | -37.8% | -251.0% | -1724.1% | -715.9% |
| FCF Margin | 141.6% | -252.0% | -1691.2% | -676.6% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26Latest | $0.31 | $0.32 | +3.2% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.32 | $0.30 | -3.2% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.29 | $0.07 | -75.9% | ||
| Q3'25 | $1.28 | $0.18 | -85.9% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.82 | $-3.49 | -525.6% | ||
| Q1'25 | $-0.12 | $-0.71 | -491.7% | ||
| Q4'24 | $-0.35 | $-0.50 | -42.9% | ||
| Q3'24 | $-0.33 | $-0.71 | -115.2% |
Total return is -80.3% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -101.1%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -63.9% | -71.2% | — |
| 1Y | -80.3% | -101.1% | — |
| 3YCAGR | -46.9% | -66.3% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -60.2% | -72.1% | — |
| 10YCAGR | -44.4% | -58.1% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.6x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Prairie Operating Co. (PROP) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Prairie Operating Co. appears Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers.
Prairie Operating Co. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $3.58 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $2.75 (implying +311.7% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Prairie Operating Co. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 51/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of -0.4 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 17.2%.
Prairie Operating Co. returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 0.8% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by +100.0% in the last 12 months.
Prairie Operating Co.'s current growth trajectory is Stable. The company achieved +2943.8% 1Y revenue growth and +49.1% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 1 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 10% of recent quarters with a 1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +311.7% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Prairie Operating Co. include: -84.8% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.15x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.