The Real Brokerage Inc. (REAX)
Valuation Overview•Is The Real Brokerage Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
The market is pricing the stock in line with historical averages, assuming steady-state growth.
Fragile underlying quality score of 38/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Mixed fundamental profile with offsetting strengths and weaknesses.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
Returns capital exclusively via buybacks — no active dividend
REAX struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is backed by a fortress balance sheet, holding significant net cash ($60M) and minimal debt risk.
The company is driving exceptional top-line expansion (72.8% 3Y CAGR) paired with stable bottom-line earnings. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (-0.3%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $465.6M | +55.7% | +72.8% | +160.0% | — | |
| EBITDA | -$2.6M | — | +29.6% | — | — | |
| Net Income | -$3.4M | +69.5% | +26.7% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.02 | +73.6% | — | — | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $23.0M | +35.9% | +141.8% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% |
| Operating Margin | -0.3% | -2.1% | -4.1% | -6.0% |
| Net Margin | -0.3% | -2.2% | -4.4% | -8.5% |
| FCF Margin | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | -0.6% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $-0.03 | $-0.02 | +33.3% | ||
| Q1'26 | $-0.03 | $-0.02 | +33.3% | ||
| Q4'25 | $-0.02 | $-0.00 | +89.8% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.00 | $0.01 | +300.0% | ||
| Q2'25 | $-0.05 | $-0.02 | +60.0% | ||
| Q1'25 | $-0.05 | $-0.03 | +40.0% | ||
| Q4'24 | $-0.01 | $-0.01 | -66.7% | ||
| Q3'24 | $-0.01 | $-0.01 | -49.9% |
Total return is -56.8% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -77.7%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -52.0% | -59.4% | — |
| 1Y | -56.8% | -77.7% | — |
| 3YCAGR | +2.0% | -19.1% | — |
| 5YCAGR | -4.9% | -16.7% | — |
| 10YCAGR | +14.3% | +0.5% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 30.5x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about The Real Brokerage Inc. (REAX) valuation, health, and returns.
The Real Brokerage Inc. valuation is being assessed using available models.
The Real Brokerage Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Wall Street Analyst Target: $4.25 (implying +140.1% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
The Real Brokerage Inc. displays weak financial health with a composite quality score of 38/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -1591.2%.
The Real Brokerage Inc. returns capital via buybacks instead of dividends, carrying a 10.4% buyback yield and reducing outstanding shares by +15.0% in the last 12 months.
The Real Brokerage Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved +55.7% 1Y revenue growth and +73.6% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +72.8%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 7 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 50% of recent quarters with a 6-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +140.1% change from current levels.
Investment risks for The Real Brokerage Inc. include: -70.4% 1-year max drawdown, high beta (1.40x market volatility). Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 1.40x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.