Republic Airways Holdings Inc. (RJET)
Valuation Overview•Is Republic Airways Holdings Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.
Fragile underlying quality score of 17/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
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Verdict: Highly distressed profile flashing severe fundamental warning signs.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. The company currently dilutes shareholders to fund operations and growth rather than returning capital.
RJET struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. However, the balance sheet carries elevated leverage, requiring careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.
The company demonstrates solid revenue growth (8.1% 3Y CAGR) however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. Operating efficiency remains adequate with margins around 11.0%.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $553.5M | +13.7% | +8.1% | +25.2% | +2.4% | |
| EBITDA | $98.5M | — | +6.6% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $34.6M | +18.0% | +4.0% | — | — | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.75 | -92.0% | -58.8% | -30.7% | — | |
| Free Cash Flow | $50.3M | -164.8% | -108.4% | — | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 27.4% | 25.1% | 20.1% | 19.4% |
| Operating Margin | 11.0% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% |
| Net Margin | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% |
| FCF Margin | 0.4% | -4.0% | 2.1% | -2.6% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26Latest | — | $0.12 | — | ||
| Q4'25 | — | $-0.05 | — | ||
| Q3'25 | — | $-0.01 | — | ||
| Q2'25 | — | $-0.07 | — | ||
| Q2'25 | — | $-623.62 | — | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.22 | $-0.23 | -204.8% | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.22 | $-7.20 | -3381.7% | ||
| Q2'24 | $0.15 | $0.15 | -1.3% |
Total return is +1231.9% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +1222.2%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | -10.6% | -18.2% | — |
| 1Y | +1231.9% | +1222.2% | — |
| 3YCAGR | +213.2% | +194.1% | — |
| 5YCAGR | +16.4% | +7.0% | — |
| 10YCAGR | +4.8% | -8.4% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 29.9x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Republic Airways Holdings Inc. (RJET) valuation, health, and returns.
Based on peer relative multiples, Republic Airways Holdings Inc. appears Limited: Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers.
Republic Airways Holdings Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: Peer Relative Fair Value: $3.21. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Republic Airways Holdings Inc. displays poor financial health with a composite quality score of 17/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of -2.4 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 7.1%.
Republic Airways Holdings Inc. does not return material capital to shareholders via dividends or share repurchases, electing to retain earnings to fund internal growth.
Republic Airways Holdings Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Accelerating. The company achieved +13.7% 1Y revenue growth and -92.0% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +8.1%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 6 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 25% of recent quarters with a -7-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Republic Airways Holdings Inc. include: -17.8% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.97x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.