Seapeak LLC (SEAL-PB)
Valuation Overview•Is Seapeak LLC Overvalued or Undervalued?
Priced at a premium to peer multiples and intrinsic cash flows, demanding strong execution to justify current levels.
Fragile underlying quality score of 41/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Wall Street forecasts a balanced outlook with consensus price targets near the current price.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant solvency concerns.
Wall Street sentiment is generally neutral alongside robust expected earnings growth. This is paired with healthy capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
SEAL-PB demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. However, this is severely offset by a highly leveraged balance sheet (Debt/EBITDA > 4.0x) and elevated financial risk.
The company exhibits steady, low-single-digit revenue growth however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. The company maintains healthy operational efficiency with a 19.6% operating margin.
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $147.4M | -10.4% | +0.7% | +1.5% | +4.8% | |
| EBITDA | $82.9M | — | +6.3% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $41.4M | +162.3% | -42.6% | — | -14.4% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.35 | +118.3% | -57.6% | -25.2% | -22.6% | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$10.6M | +53.8% | +7.8% | -18.9% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 38.3% | 43.0% | 44.9% | 47.6% |
| Operating Margin | 19.6% | 21.7% | 27.0% | 32.5% |
| Net Margin | 12.0% | 13.0% | 23.1% | 20.4% |
| FCF Margin | 19.0% | 27.4% | 27.1% | 0.1% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.59 | $0.35 | -40.7% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.66 | $0.33 | -50.2% | ||
| Q4'25 | — | $-0.29 | — | ||
| Q3'25 | — | $0.24 | — | ||
| Q2'25 | — | $0.09 | — | ||
| Q1'25 | — | $-2.54 | — | ||
| Q4'24 | — | $0.35 | — | ||
| Q3'24 | — | $0.69 | — |
Total return is +9.5% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -11.3%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +4.1% | -3.2% | — |
| 1Y | +9.5% | -11.3% | +8.3% |
| 3YCAGR | +9.6% | -9.5% | +26.0% |
| 5YCAGR | +5.6% | -5.9% | +38.4% |
| 10YCAGR | +5.8% | -7.9% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.0x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Seapeak LLC (SEAL-PB) valuation, health, and returns.
Seapeak LLC is estimated to be overvalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Expensive versus peers compared to industry peers. overvalued (implying -26.8% downside from DCF intrinsic value of $18.67)
Seapeak LLC has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $18.67 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $17.19. A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Seapeak LLC displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 41/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 0.2 (distress zone), Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 3.5%.
Seapeak LLC pays a 4.9% dividend yield, covered by a 295% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.0% buyback yield.
Seapeak LLC's current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -10.4% 1Y revenue growth and +118.3% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +0.7%.
Wall Street consensus is Hold based on 0 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 17% of recent quarters with a -3-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a N/A change from current levels.
Investment risks for Seapeak LLC include: -4.0% 1-year max drawdown, elevated distress risk, stretched payout ratio. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of -0.01x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.