Tennant Company (TNC)
Valuation Overview•Is Tennant Company Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a discount compared to peers, but the underlying intrinsic cash flows struggle to support the current price.
Fragile underlying quality score of 42/100; weak margins or elevated debt leverage warrant caution.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant growth concerns.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside alongside robust expected earnings growth. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, driven predominantly by aggressive share repurchases.
TNC struggles with subpar profitability and pressured margins. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company exhibits steady, low-single-digit revenue growth however, earnings have severely contracted over the same period. However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (4.8%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $297.9M | -6.5% | +3.3% | +3.8% | +4.0% | |
| EBITDA | $19.8M | — | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Net Income | $200K | -47.7% | -12.9% | — | +3.2% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.01 | -46.1% | -12.7% | +5.5% | +3.1% | |
| Free Cash Flow | -$34.4M | -36.6% | — | -16.0% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 39.5% | 41.8% | 40.8% | 40.9% |
| Operating Margin | 4.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% |
| Net Margin | 2.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| FCF Margin | 1.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.24 | $0.58 | +141.7% | ||
| Q1'26 | $1.68 | $1.39 | -17.3% | ||
| Q4'25 | $1.49 | $1.46 | -2.0% | ||
| Q3'25 | $1.63 | $1.49 | -8.6% | ||
| Q2'25 | $1.38 | $1.12 | -18.8% | ||
| Q1'25 | $1.34 | $1.52 | +13.4% | ||
| Q4'24 | $1.44 | $1.39 | -3.5% | ||
| Q3'24 | $1.72 | $1.83 | +6.4% |
Total return is +22.5% (1Y), lagging the benchmark by -2.5%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +23.5% | +14.2% | — |
| 1Y | +22.5% | -2.5% | +1.6% |
| 3YCAGR | +5.3% | -16.1% | +4.3% |
| 5YCAGR | +4.2% | -9.9% | +7.1% |
| 10YCAGR | +6.3% | -7.8% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Tennant Company (TNC) valuation, health, and returns.
Tennant Company is estimated to be overvalued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Slightly cheap versus peers compared to industry peers. overvalued (implying -27.0% downside from DCF intrinsic value of $66.21)
Tennant Company has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $66.21 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $100.04 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $140.00 (implying +54.3% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Tennant Company displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 42/100, supported by a Altman Z-Score of 3.3 (safe zone), Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 7.5%.
Tennant Company pays a 1.3% dividend yield, covered by a 50% payout ratio with 38 years of growth, supplemented by a 5.5% buyback yield.
Tennant Company's current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -6.5% 1Y revenue growth and -46.1% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of +3.3%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 8 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 58% of recent quarters with a 1-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +54.3% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Tennant Company include: -28.6% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.90x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.