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AMPL vs CFLT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Infrastructure
AMPL vs CFLT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Software - Infrastructure |
| Market Cap | $790M | $10.65B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $357M | $1.17B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-90M | $-295M |
| Gross Margin | 73.6% | 74.3% |
| Operating Margin | -26.9% | -32.6% |
| Forward P/E | 53.6x | 60.6x |
| Total Debt | $7M | $1.11B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $81M | $347M |
AMPL vs CFLT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Sep 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) | 100 | 10.9 | -89.1% |
| Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) | 100 | 51.4 | -48.6% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: AMPL vs CFLT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
AMPL is the clearest fit if your priority is value and quality.
- Lower P/E (53.6x vs 60.6x)
- -25.1% margin vs CFLT's -25.3%
CFLT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- beta 1.17
- Rev growth 21.1%, EPS growth 19.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 25.8%
- -31.2% 10Y total return vs AMPL's -89.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.1% revenue growth vs AMPL's 14.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (53.6x vs 60.6x) | |
| Quality / Margins | -25.1% margin vs CFLT's -25.3% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.17 vs AMPL's 1.63 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +51.7% vs AMPL's -37.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -9.9% ROA vs AMPL's -20.9%, ROIC -15.8% vs -47.8% |
AMPL vs CFLT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
AMPL vs CFLT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — AMPL and CFLT each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CFLT is the larger business by revenue, generating $1.2B annually — 3.3x AMPL's $357M. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from -25.1% (AMPL) to -25.3% (CFLT). On growth, CFLT holds the edge at +20.5% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $357M | $1.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$89M | -$358M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$90M | -$295M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $22M | $50M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +73.6% | +74.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -26.9% | -32.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -25.1% | -25.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +6.2% | +4.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +16.9% | +20.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | 0.0% | +14.8% |
Valuation Metrics
AMPL leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $790M | $10.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $716M | $11.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -8.82x | -36.03x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 53.58x | 60.63x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | — |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.30x | 9.13x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.18x | 9.11x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 28.02x | 175.59x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CFLT leads this category, winning 5 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CFLT delivers a -25.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $-25 in annual profit, vs $-36 for AMPL. AMPL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CFLT's 0.95x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CFLT scores 6/9 vs AMPL's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -35.7% | -25.3% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -20.9% | -9.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -47.8% | -15.8% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -34.5% | -17.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.03x | 0.95x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$74M | $758M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $81M | $347M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $7M | $1.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -262.57x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CFLT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CFLT five years ago would be worth $6,884 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,078 for AMPL. Over the past 12 months, CFLT leads with a +51.7% total return vs AMPL's -37.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CFLT at 11.0% vs AMPL's -20.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -45.9% | +2.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -37.3% | +51.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -49.1% | +36.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -89.2% | -31.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -89.2% | -31.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -20.1% | +11.0% |
Risk & Volatility
CFLT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CFLT is the less volatile stock with a 1.17 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than AMPL's 1.63 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CFLT currently trades 100.0% from its 52-week high vs AMPL's 40.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.63x | 1.17x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $14.49 | $31.00 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $5.51 | $15.64 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +40.8% | +100.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 56.0 | 73.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.8M | 8.0M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates AMPL as "Buy" and CFLT as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 103.0% upside for AMPL (target: $12) vs -0.5% for CFLT (target: $31).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $12.00 | $30.85 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 12 | 38 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +3.9% | 0.0% |
CFLT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). AMPL leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
AMPL vs CFLT: Frequently Asked Questions
9 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is AMPL or CFLT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Confluent, Inc.
(CFLT) is the stronger pick with 21. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 14. 7% for Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL). Analysts rate Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) a "Buy" — based on 12 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — AMPL or CFLT?
Over the past 5 years, Confluent, Inc.
(CFLT) delivered a total return of -31. 2%, compared to -89. 2% for Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CFLT returned -31. 2% versus AMPL's -89. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — AMPL or CFLT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Confluent, Inc.
(CFLT) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 17β versus Amplitude, Inc. 's 1. 63β — meaning AMPL is approximately 39% more volatile than CFLT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 95% for Confluent, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — AMPL or CFLT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Confluent, Inc.
(CFLT) is pulling ahead at 21. 1% versus 14. 7% for Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Confluent, Inc. grew EPS 19. 6% year-over-year, compared to 11. 8% for Amplitude, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CFLT leads at 25. 8% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — AMPL or CFLT?
Confluent, Inc.
(CFLT) is the more profitable company, earning -25. 3% net margin versus -25. 8% for Amplitude, Inc. — meaning it keeps -25. 3% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AMPL leads at -28. 0% versus -32. 6% for CFLT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CFLT leads at 74. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Is AMPL or CFLT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Amplitude, Inc.
(AMPL) trades at 53. 6x forward P/E versus 60. 6x for Confluent, Inc. — 7. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for AMPL: 103. 0% to $12. 00.
07Which pays a better dividend — AMPL or CFLT?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
08Is AMPL or CFLT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Confluent, Inc.
(CFLT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1. 17)). Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) carries a higher beta of 1. 63 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CFLT: -31. 2%, AMPL: -89. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
09What are the main differences between AMPL and CFLT?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: AMPL is a small-cap quality compounder stock; CFLT is a mid-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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