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FARM vs KDP
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
FARM vs KDP — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Packaged Foods | Beverages - Non-Alcoholic |
| Market Cap | $28M | $38.80B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $338M | $16.94B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-19M | $1.83B |
| Gross Margin | 40.7% | 53.8% |
| Operating Margin | -1.8% | 21.3% |
| Forward P/E | — | 12.5x |
| Total Debt | $53M | $16.14B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $7M | $1.03B |
FARM vs KDP — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farmer Bros. Co. (FARM) | 100 | 16.6 | -83.4% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper In… (KDP) | 100 | 105.3 | +5.3% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FARM vs KDP
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FARM is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Better valuation composite
KDP carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 7 yrs, beta 0.15, yield 3.2%
- Rev growth 8.2%, EPS growth 45.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.7%
- 8.4% 10Y total return vs FARM's -95.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.2% revenue growth vs FARM's 0.3% | |
| Value | Better valuation composite | |
| Quality / Margins | 10.8% margin vs FARM's -5.5% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.15 vs FARM's 0.79, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.2% yield; 7-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -13.6% vs FARM's -28.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.1% ROA vs FARM's -12.3%, ROIC 6.7% vs -1.2% |
FARM vs KDP — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
FARM vs KDP — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KDP leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
KDP is the larger business by revenue, generating $16.9B annually — 50.2x FARM's $338M. KDP is the more profitable business, keeping 10.8% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FARM's -5.5%. On growth, KDP holds the edge at +9.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $338M | $16.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $5M | $3.9B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$19M | $1.8B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$3M | $1.6B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.7% | +53.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -1.8% | +21.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -5.5% | +10.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.8% | +9.3% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -1.2% | +9.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | -47.4% |
Valuation Metrics
FARM leads this category, winning 5 of 5 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, FARM's 7.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than KDP's 12.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $28M | $38.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $74M | $53.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -1.88x | 18.67x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 12.53x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.78x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 7.45x | 12.25x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.08x | 2.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.63x | 1.53x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 4.27x | 25.78x |
Profitability & Efficiency
KDP leads this category, winning 7 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
KDP delivers a 7.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $-52 for FARM. KDP carries lower financial leverage with a 0.63x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FARM's 1.23x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), KDP scores 7/9 vs FARM's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -52.2% | +7.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -12.3% | +3.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.2% | +6.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -1.5% | +7.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 1.23x | 0.63x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $47M | $15.1B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $7M | $1.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $53M | $16.1B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -1.88x | 3.68x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
KDP leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in KDP five years ago would be worth $9,019 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,231 for FARM. Over the past 12 months, KDP leads with a -13.6% total return vs FARM's -28.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors KDP at -1.7% vs FARM's -21.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -13.5% | +4.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -28.9% | -13.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -52.2% | -4.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -87.7% | -9.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -95.8% | +842.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -21.8% | -1.7% |
Risk & Volatility
KDP leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
KDP is the less volatile stock with a 0.15 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FARM's 0.79 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. KDP currently trades 79.5% from its 52-week high vs FARM's 51.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.79x | 0.15x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $2.48 | $35.94 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $1.21 | $24.88 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +51.6% | +79.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.9 | 62.1 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 283K | 11.0M |
Analyst Outlook
KDP leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
KDP is the only dividend payer here at 3.21% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $32.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 28 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +3.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 7 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $0.92 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.0% |
KDP leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). FARM leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
FARM vs KDP: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FARM or KDP a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the stronger pick with 8. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 0. 3% for Farmer Bros. Co. (FARM). Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) offers the better valuation at 18. 7x trailing P/E (12. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — FARM or KDP?
Over the past 5 years, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) delivered a total return of -9. 8%, compared to -87. 7% for Farmer Bros. Co. (FARM). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: KDP returned +833. 4% versus FARM's -95. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — FARM or KDP?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 15β versus Farmer Bros. Co. 's 0. 79β — meaning FARM is approximately 413% more volatile than KDP relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 63% versus 123% for Farmer Bros. Co. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
04Which is growing faster — FARM or KDP?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is pulling ahead at 8. 2% versus 0. 3% for Farmer Bros. Co. (FARM). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. grew EPS 45. 7% year-over-year, compared to -257. 9% for Farmer Bros. Co.. Over a 3-year CAGR, KDP leads at 5. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — FARM or KDP?
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 5% net margin versus -4. 2% for Farmer Bros. Co. — meaning it keeps 12. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: KDP leads at 22. 0% versus -0. 4% for FARM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KDP leads at 52. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — FARM or KDP?
In this comparison, KDP (3.
2% yield) pays a dividend. FARM does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
07Is FARM or KDP better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
(KDP) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 15), 3. 2% yield, +833. 4% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (KDP: +833. 4%, FARM: -95. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between FARM and KDP?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FARM is a small-cap quality compounder stock; KDP is a mid-cap income-oriented stock. KDP pays a dividend while FARM does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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