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VST vs CEG
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Renewable Utilities
VST vs CEG — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Independent Power Producers | Renewable Utilities |
| Market Cap | $53.59B | $100.82B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $16.73B | $25.53B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $944M | $2.32B |
| Gross Margin | 15.9% | 75.8% |
| Operating Margin | 5.8% | 12.1% |
| Forward P/E | 18.4x | 27.8x |
| Total Debt | $20.39B | $8.99B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $816M | $3.75B |
VST vs CEG — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 22 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vistra Corp. (VST) | 100 | 725.8 | +625.8% |
| Constellation Energ… (CEG) | 100 | 672.5 | +572.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: VST vs CEG
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
VST is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and long-term compounding.
- Dividend streak 6 yrs, beta 1.56, yield 0.6%
- 9.7% 10Y total return vs CEG's 6.8%
- 0.6% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs CEG's 0.5%
CEG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and sleep-well-at-night.
- Rev growth 8.3%, EPS growth -37.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 1.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.44, Low D/E 60.5%, current ratio 1.53x
- PEG 0.85 vs VST's 1.65
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.3% revenue growth vs VST's -12.4% | |
| Value | PEG 0.85 vs 1.65 | |
| Quality / Margins | 9.1% margin vs VST's 5.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.44 vs VST's 1.56, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.6% yield, 6-year raise streak, vs CEG's 0.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +18.5% vs VST's +9.9% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 4.1% ROA vs VST's 2.4%, ROIC 11.9% vs 4.3% |
VST vs CEG — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
VST vs CEG — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CEG leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CEG is the larger business by revenue, generating $25.5B annually — 1.5x VST's $16.7B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 9.1% (CEG) to 5.6% (VST). On growth, CEG holds the edge at +1.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $16.7B | $25.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4.0B | $4.7B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $944M | $2.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $640M | $1.3B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +15.9% | +75.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.8% | +12.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.6% | +9.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.8% | +5.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -68.2% | +1.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -51.3% | -49.1% |
Valuation Metrics
CEG leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 43.6x trailing earnings, CEG trades at a 39% valuation discount to VST's 71.6x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CEG offers better value at 1.34x vs VST's 6.40x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $53.6B | $100.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $73.2B | $106.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 71.62x | 43.62x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 18.45x | 27.82x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 6.40x | 1.34x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 17.08x | 26.05x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.16x | 3.95x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 10.53x | 6.82x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 415.42x | 78.28x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CEG leads this category, winning 8 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
VST delivers a 18.9% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $19 in annual profit, vs $16 for CEG. CEG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.61x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to VST's 3.99x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CEG scores 7/9 vs VST's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +18.9% | +15.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | +4.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.3% | +11.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +4.5% | +6.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 3.99x | 0.61x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $19.6B | $5.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $816M | $3.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $20.4B | $9.0B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.95x | 6.04x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
VST leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in VST five years ago would be worth $101,051 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $78,062 for CEG. Over the past 12 months, CEG leads with a +18.5% total return vs VST's +9.9%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors VST at 90.2% vs CEG's 60.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -4.1% | -11.8% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +9.9% | +18.5% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +588.3% | +315.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +910.5% | +680.6% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +969.7% | +680.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +90.2% | +60.8% |
Risk & Volatility
CEG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CEG is the less volatile stock with a 1.44 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than VST's 1.56 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CEG currently trades 78.2% from its 52-week high vs VST's 72.0% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.56x | 1.44x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $219.82 | $412.70 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $133.73 | $243.30 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +72.0% | +78.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 51.7 | 59.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 4.1M | 2.8M |
Analyst Outlook
VST leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates VST as "Buy" and CEG as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 43.8% upside for VST (target: $228) vs 25.6% for CEG (target: $405). For income investors, VST offers the higher dividend yield at 0.57% vs CEG's 0.48%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $227.60 | $405.33 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 19 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.6% | +0.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 6 | 3 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.90 | $1.55 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.9% | +0.4% |
CEG leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). VST leads in 2 (Total Returns, Analyst Outlook).
VST vs CEG: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is VST or CEG a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is the stronger pick with 8.
3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -12. 4% for Vistra Corp. (VST). Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) offers the better valuation at 43. 6x trailing P/E (27. 8x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Vistra Corp. (VST) a "Buy" — based on 21 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — VST or CEG?
On trailing P/E, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is the cheapest at 43.
6x versus Vistra Corp. at 71. 6x. On forward P/E, Vistra Corp. is actually cheaper at 18. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Constellation Energy Corporation wins at 0. 85x versus Vistra Corp. 's 1. 65x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — VST or CEG?
Over the past 5 years, Vistra Corp.
(VST) delivered a total return of +910. 5%, compared to +680. 6% for Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: VST returned +969. 7% versus CEG's +680. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — VST or CEG?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
44β versus Vistra Corp. 's 1. 56β — meaning VST is approximately 9% more volatile than CEG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 61% versus 4% for Vistra Corp. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — VST or CEG?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is pulling ahead at 8.
3% versus -12. 4% for Vistra Corp. (VST). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Constellation Energy Corporation grew EPS -37. 8% year-over-year, compared to -68. 4% for Vistra Corp.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CEG leads at 1. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — VST or CEG?
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is the more profitable company, earning 9.
1% net margin versus 5. 6% for Vistra Corp. — meaning it keeps 9. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CEG leads at 12. 1% versus 7. 9% for VST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CEG leads at 75. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is VST or CEG more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 85x versus Vistra Corp. 's 1. 65x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Vistra Corp. (VST) trades at 18. 4x forward P/E versus 27. 8x for Constellation Energy Corporation — 9. 4x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for VST: 43. 8% to $227. 60.
08Which pays a better dividend — VST or CEG?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Vistra Corp. (VST) offers the highest yield at 0. 6%, versus 0. 5% for Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG).
09Is VST or CEG better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Vistra Corp.
(VST) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +969. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (VST: +969. 7%, CEG: +680. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between VST and CEG?
Both stocks operate in the Utilities sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
VST pays a dividend while CEG does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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