Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
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CLMT vs MPC
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
CLMT vs MPC — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production | Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
| Market Cap | $2.99B | $72.38B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.05B | $135.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-37M | $4.63B |
| Gross Margin | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Operating Margin | 4.8% | 5.0% |
| Forward P/E | 451.0x | 11.1x |
| Total Debt | $2.37B | $34.36B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $38M | $3.67B |
CLMT vs MPC — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calumet, Inc. (CLMT) | 100 | 1342.4 | +1242.4% |
| Marathon Petroleum … (MPC) | 100 | 699.4 | +599.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CLMT vs MPC
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CLMT is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 0.2%, EPS growth -5.5%, 3Y rev CAGR 10.0%
- 7.4% 10Y total return vs MPC's 6.5%
- 0.2% revenue growth vs MPC's -4.4%
MPC carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 4 yrs, beta 0.30, yield 1.5%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.30, current ratio 1.26x
- Beta 0.30, yield 1.5%, current ratio 1.26x
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 0.2% revenue growth vs MPC's -4.4% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (11.1x vs 451.0x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.4% margin vs CLMT's -0.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.30 vs CLMT's 0.40 | |
| Dividends | 1.5% yield; 4-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +208.6% vs MPC's +72.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 5.5% ROA vs CLMT's -1.4%, ROIC 8.3% vs 0.3% |
CLMT vs MPC — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CLMT vs MPC — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MPC leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MPC is the larger business by revenue, generating $135.8B annually — 33.5x CLMT's $4.0B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 3.4% (MPC) to -0.9% (CLMT). On growth, MPC holds the edge at +9.7% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.0B | $135.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $256M | $10.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$37M | $4.6B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$76M | $5.7B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +8.2% | +8.8% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +4.8% | +5.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -0.9% | +3.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -1.9% | +4.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -2.0% | +9.7% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +4.1% | +8.2% |
Valuation Metrics
MPC leads this category, winning 3 of 4 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, MPC's 11.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than CLMT's 33.9x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $3.0B | $72.4B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $5.3B | $103.1B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -12.92x | 18.52x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 450.98x | 11.07x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 33.91x | 11.43x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.71x | 0.55x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | — | 3.11x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 15.18x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MPC leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MPC scores 7/9 vs CLMT's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | — | +19.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.4% | +5.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +0.3% | +8.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +0.5% | +9.3% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 1.43x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.3B | $30.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $38M | $3.7B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.4B | $34.4B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.65x | 6.36x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CLMT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CLMT five years ago would be worth $54,160 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $43,929 for MPC. Over the past 12 months, CLMT leads with a +208.6% total return vs MPC's +72.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MPC at 33.1% vs CLMT's 25.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +76.5% | +49.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +208.6% | +72.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +98.0% | +135.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +441.6% | +339.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +743.5% | +654.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +25.6% | +33.1% |
Risk & Volatility
MPC leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MPC is the less volatile stock with a 0.30 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CLMT's 0.40 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.40x | 0.30x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $36.94 | $261.61 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $11.00 | $141.91 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +93.4% | +93.9% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 68.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.2M | 2.5M |
Analyst Outlook
MPC leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CLMT as "Hold" and MPC as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply -10.1% upside for CLMT (target: $31) vs -12.6% for MPC (target: $215). MPC is the only dividend payer here at 1.52% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $31.00 | $214.78 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 33 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $3.74 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +4.8% |
MPC leads in 5 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). CLMT leads in 1 (Total Returns).
CLMT vs MPC: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CLMT or MPC a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Calumet, Inc.
(CLMT) is the stronger pick with 0. 2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -4. 4% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC). Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) offers the better valuation at 18. 5x trailing P/E (11. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) a "Buy" — based on 33 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CLMT or MPC?
On forward P/E, Marathon Petroleum Corporation is actually cheaper at 11.
1x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CLMT or MPC?
Over the past 5 years, Calumet, Inc.
(CLMT) delivered a total return of +441. 6%, compared to +339. 3% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CLMT returned +743. 5% versus MPC's +654. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CLMT or MPC?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
30β versus Calumet, Inc. 's 0. 40β — meaning CLMT is approximately 32% more volatile than MPC relative to the S&P 500.
05Which is growing faster — CLMT or MPC?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Calumet, Inc.
(CLMT) is pulling ahead at 0. 2% versus -4. 4% for Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Marathon Petroleum Corporation grew EPS 31. 5% year-over-year, compared to -552. 5% for Calumet, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CLMT leads at 10. 0% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CLMT or MPC?
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
0% net margin versus -5. 3% for Calumet, Inc. — meaning it keeps 3. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MPC leads at 4. 3% versus 0. 2% for CLMT. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MPC leads at 7. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CLMT or MPC more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) trades at 11.
1x forward P/E versus 451. 0x for Calumet, Inc. — 439. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CLMT: -10. 1% to $31. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — CLMT or MPC?
In this comparison, MPC (1.
5% yield) pays a dividend. CLMT does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is CLMT or MPC better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
30), 1. 5% yield, +654. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MPC: +654. 2%, CLMT: +743. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CLMT and MPC?
Both stocks operate in the Energy sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
MPC pays a dividend while CLMT does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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