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ERIE vs CNA vs PGR vs TRV
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Insurance - Property & Casualty
ERIE vs CNA vs PGR vs TRV — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Insurance - Brokers | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Insurance - Property & Casualty |
| Market Cap | $10.01B | $11.82B | $114.73B | $64.62B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.33B | $14.82B | $85.18B | $48.83B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $571M | $1.33B | $10.71B | $6.29B |
| Gross Margin | 18.1% | 33.4% | 26.3% | 36.9% |
| Operating Margin | 17.0% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 16.0% |
| Forward P/E | 17.1x | 9.1x | 12.0x | 10.7x |
| Total Debt | $0.00 | $2.97B | $6.89B | $9.27B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $346M | $425M | $143M | $842M |
ERIE vs CNA vs PGR vs TRV — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erie Indemnity Comp… (ERIE) | 100 | 120.3 | +20.3% |
| CNA Financial Corpo… (CNA) | 100 | 144.5 | +44.5% |
| The Progressive Cor… (PGR) | 100 | 252.0 | +152.0% |
| The Travelers Compa… (TRV) | 100 | 279.4 | +179.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: ERIE vs CNA vs PGR vs TRV
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
ERIE carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 2 yrs, beta 0.16, yield 2.2%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.16, current ratio 1.27x
- Beta 0.16, yield 2.2%, current ratio 1.27x
- Combined ratio 0.8 vs CNA's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting)
CNA is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if value and dividends is your priority.
- Lower P/E (9.1x vs 12.0x), PEG 0.69 vs 0.73
- 8.8% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs TRV's 1.4%
PGR is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 21.4%, EPS growth 118.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 16.5%
- 5.9% 10Y total return vs TRV's 201.4%
- 21.4% revenue growth vs CNA's 5.1%
TRV is the clearest fit if your priority is valuation efficiency.
- PEG 0.51 vs ERIE's 1.26
- +12.8% vs ERIE's -38.7%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.4% revenue growth vs CNA's 5.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (9.1x vs 12.0x), PEG 0.69 vs 0.73 | |
| Quality / Margins | Combined ratio 0.8 vs CNA's 0.9 (lower = better underwriting) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.16 vs CNA's 0.24 | |
| Dividends | 8.8% yield, 2-year raise streak, vs TRV's 1.4% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +12.8% vs ERIE's -38.7% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.3% ROA vs CNA's 2.0%, ROIC 29.5% vs 8.9% |
ERIE vs CNA vs PGR vs TRV — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
ERIE vs CNA vs PGR vs TRV — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
CNA leads in 1 of 6 categories
ERIE leads 1 • TRV leads 1 • PGR leads 0 • 3 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — ERIE and PGR and TRV each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
PGR is the larger business by revenue, generating $85.2B annually — 19.7x ERIE's $4.3B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 13.2% (ERIE) to 9.0% (CNA). On growth, PGR holds the edge at +14.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.3B | $14.8B | $85.2B | $48.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $786M | $1.6B | $13.8B | $8.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $571M | $1.3B | $10.7B | $6.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $537M | $2.2B | $17.0B | $7.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +18.1% | +33.4% | +26.3% | +36.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +17.0% | +10.6% | +15.9% | +16.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +13.2% | +9.0% | +12.6% | +12.9% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.4% | +14.6% | +20.0% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.3% | +3.0% | +14.2% | +3.5% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +7.9% | -22.0% | +12.1% | +23.4% |
Valuation Metrics
CNA leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 9.3x trailing earnings, CNA trades at a 54% valuation discount to ERIE's 20.4x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TRV offers better value at 0.52x vs ERIE's 1.50x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $10.0B | $11.8B | $114.7B | $64.6B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $9.7B | $14.4B | $121.5B | $73.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 20.41x | 9.32x | 13.59x | 10.90x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 17.15x | 9.05x | 12.00x | 10.69x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 1.50x | 0.71x | 0.83x | 0.52x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 12.14x | 8.50x | 11.05x | 8.62x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.46x | 0.80x | 1.52x | 1.32x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 5.00x | 1.02x | 4.50x | 2.07x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 17.53x | 4.92x | 7.73x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
PGR delivers a 30.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $30 in annual profit, vs $12 for CNA. CNA carries lower financial leverage with a 0.26x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TRV's 0.28x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CNA scores 7/9 vs ERIE's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +25.0% | +11.9% | +30.2% | +19.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +17.3% | +2.0% | +8.8% | +4.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +29.5% | +8.9% | +27.0% | +15.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +32.0% | +6.1% | +11.0% | +8.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 0.26x | 0.27x | 0.28x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$346M | $2.5B | $6.8B | $8.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $346M | $425M | $143M | $842M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $0 | $3.0B | $6.9B | $9.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | 12.31x | 49.44x | 19.34x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
TRV leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in PGR five years ago would be worth $20,726 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,482 for ERIE. Over the past 12 months, TRV leads with a +12.8% total return vs ERIE's -38.7%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors TRV at 19.5% vs ERIE's -0.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -20.9% | -1.5% | -1.3% | +5.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -38.7% | -1.6% | -26.8% | +12.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -0.2% | +37.2% | +60.9% | +70.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +14.8% | +27.0% | +107.3% | +98.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +171.6% | +136.4% | +593.7% | +201.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -0.1% | +11.1% | +17.2% | +19.5% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — PGR and TRV each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
PGR is the less volatile stock with a -0.07 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CNA's 0.24 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TRV currently trades 95.4% from its 52-week high vs ERIE's 56.9% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.16x | 0.24x | -0.07x | 0.22x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $380.67 | $50.72 | $289.96 | $313.12 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $210.06 | $42.77 | $192.02 | $249.19 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +56.9% | +86.1% | +67.5% | +95.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 33.6 | 30.7 | 42.3 | 50.5 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 231K | 440K | 2.6M | 1.3M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — CNA and TRV each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: CNA as "Hold", PGR as "Hold", TRV as "Hold". Consensus price targets imply 17.6% upside for PGR (target: $230) vs 3.0% for CNA (target: $45). For income investors, CNA offers the higher dividend yield at 8.80% vs PGR's 0.59%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Hold | Hold | Hold |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $45.00 | $230.27 | $313.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 7 | 41 | 43 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.2% | +8.8% | +0.6% | +1.4% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $4.83 | $3.85 | $1.15 | $4.30 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.3% | +0.6% | +4.8% |
CNA leads in 1 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics). ERIE leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 3 tied.
ERIE vs CNA vs PGR vs TRV: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is ERIE or CNA or PGR or TRV a better buy right now?
For growth investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger pick with 21.
4% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 5. 1% for CNA Financial Corporation (CNA). CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) offers the better valuation at 9. 3x trailing P/E (9. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) a "Hold" — based on 7 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — ERIE or CNA or PGR or TRV?
On trailing P/E, CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) is the cheapest at 9.
3x versus Erie Indemnity Company at 20. 4x. On forward P/E, CNA Financial Corporation is actually cheaper at 9. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: The Travelers Companies, Inc. wins at 0. 51x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 26x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — ERIE or CNA or PGR or TRV?
Over the past 5 years, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) delivered a total return of +107.
3%, compared to +14. 8% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: PGR returned +593. 7% versus CNA's +136. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — ERIE or CNA or PGR or TRV?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
07β versus CNA Financial Corporation's 0. 24β — meaning CNA is approximately -442% more volatile than PGR relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 26% versus 28% for The Travelers Companies, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — ERIE or CNA or PGR or TRV?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is pulling ahead at 21.
4% versus 5. 1% for CNA Financial Corporation (CNA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: The Progressive Corporation grew EPS 118. 8% year-over-year, compared to -7. 5% for Erie Indemnity Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, PGR leads at 16. 5% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — ERIE or CNA or PGR or TRV?
Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) is the more profitable company, earning 13.
8% net margin versus 8. 7% for CNA Financial Corporation — meaning it keeps 13. 8% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ERIE leads at 17. 7% versus 11. 0% for CNA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TRV leads at 44. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is ERIE or CNA or PGR or TRV more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 51x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 26x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) trades at 9. 1x forward P/E versus 17. 1x for Erie Indemnity Company — 8. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for PGR: 17. 6% to $230. 27.
08Which pays a better dividend — ERIE or CNA or PGR or TRV?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) offers the highest yield at 8. 8%, versus 0. 6% for The Progressive Corporation (PGR).
09Is ERIE or CNA or PGR or TRV better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
07), 0. 6% yield, +593. 7% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (PGR: +593. 7%, CNA: +136. 4%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between ERIE and CNA and PGR and TRV?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: ERIE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CNA is a mid-cap deep-value stock; PGR is a mid-cap high-growth stock; TRV is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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