Financial - Credit Services
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GDOT vs AFRM vs OMF vs UPST
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Infrastructure
Financial - Credit Services
Financial - Credit Services
GDOT vs AFRM vs OMF vs UPST — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Credit Services | Software - Infrastructure | Financial - Credit Services | Financial - Credit Services |
| Market Cap | $716M | $22.44B | $6.52B | $2.78B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.08B | $3.20B | $6.24B | $1.08B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-99M | $382M | $796M | $49M |
| Gross Margin | 24.5% | 62.6% | 47.6% | 95.2% |
| Operating Margin | 2.7% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 5.1% |
| Forward P/E | 8.5x | 62.5x | 7.5x | 14.7x |
| Total Debt | $65M | $7.85B | $22.69B | $1.85B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $1.42B | $1.35B | $914M | $657M |
GDOT vs AFRM vs OMF vs UPST — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jan 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Dot Corporati… (GDOT) | 100 | 25.2 | -74.8% |
| Affirm Holdings, In… (AFRM) | 100 | 67.6 | -32.4% |
| OneMain Holdings, I… (OMF) | 100 | 119.6 | +19.6% |
| Upstart Holdings, I… (UPST) | 100 | 46.6 | -53.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GDOT vs AFRM vs OMF vs UPST
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GDOT is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- beta 1.13
- Lower volatility, beta 1.13, Low D/E 7.4%, current ratio 0.52x
- Beta 1.13 vs UPST's 2.96, lower leverage
- +47.8% vs UPST's -37.6%
AFRM is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 2.72, current ratio 54.19x
- 3.1% ROA vs GDOT's -1.7%, ROIC -0.7% vs 4.4%
OMF carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for long-term compounding and bank quality.
- 189.2% 10Y total return vs UPST's -1.6%
- NIM 15.3% vs UPST's 5.1%
- Lower P/E (7.5x vs 62.5x)
- 12.5% margin vs GDOT's -4.8%
UPST is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and valuation efficiency.
- Rev growth 58.9%, EPS growth 131.3%
- PEG 1.02 vs OMF's 1.92
- 58.9% NII/revenue growth vs OMF's 9.1%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 58.9% NII/revenue growth vs OMF's 9.1% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (7.5x vs 62.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 12.5% margin vs GDOT's -4.8% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.13 vs UPST's 2.96, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 4.7% yield; the other 3 pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +47.8% vs UPST's -37.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 3.1% ROA vs GDOT's -1.7%, ROIC -0.7% vs 4.4% |
GDOT vs AFRM vs OMF vs UPST — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GDOT vs AFRM vs OMF vs UPST — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 4 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
GDOT leads in 3 of 6 categories
OMF leads 1 • AFRM leads 0 • UPST leads 0 • 1 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OMF leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
OMF is the larger business by revenue, generating $6.2B annually — 5.8x UPST's $1.1B. OMF is the more profitable business, keeping 12.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GDOT's -4.8%.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.1B | $3.2B | $6.2B | $1.1B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $141M | $533M | $943M | $68M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$99M | $382M | $796M | $49M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $60M | $787M | $3.2B | -$146M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +24.5% | +62.6% | +47.6% | +95.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.7% | +10.2% | +16.0% | +5.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -4.8% | +11.9% | +12.5% | +5.0% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.2% | +24.6% | +50.1% | -15.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | -65.8% | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -9.9% | — | +8.4% | -169.2% |
Valuation Metrics
GDOT leads this category, winning 4 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.5x trailing earnings, OMF trades at a 98% valuation discount to AFRM's 449.1x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), OMF offers better value at 2.16x vs UPST's 4.49x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $716M | $22.4B | $6.5B | $2.8B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | -$640M | $28.9B | $28.3B | $4.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -7.06x | 449.07x | 8.49x | 64.44x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 8.50x | 62.49x | 7.54x | 14.69x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — | 2.16x | 4.49x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | -4.55x | 209.99x | 21.98x | 50.13x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.34x | 6.96x | 1.05x | 2.58x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.78x | 7.48x | 1.95x | 3.90x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 10.85x | 37.29x | 2.08x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
GDOT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
OMF delivers a 23.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $24 in annual profit, vs $-11 for GDOT. GDOT carries lower financial leverage with a 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to OMF's 6.67x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), OMF scores 7/9 vs GDOT's 4/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -10.8% | +11.2% | +23.6% | +6.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.7% | +3.1% | +2.9% | +1.7% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +4.4% | -0.7% | +3.0% | +1.7% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.9% | -0.9% | +3.8% | +2.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.07x | 2.56x | 6.67x | 2.32x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$1.4B | $6.5B | $21.8B | $1.2B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $1.4B | $1.4B | $914M | $657M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $65M | $7.9B | $22.7B | $1.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 12.01x | 1.88x | 0.57x | 1.66x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
Evenly matched — GDOT and AFRM and OMF each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in OMF five years ago would be worth $13,644 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $2,822 for GDOT. Over the past 12 months, GDOT leads with a +47.8% total return vs UPST's -37.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors AFRM at 78.0% vs GDOT's -10.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +0.3% | -9.0% | -17.9% | -36.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +47.8% | +30.7% | +22.9% | -37.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.8% | +464.2% | +87.3% | +116.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -71.8% | +24.7% | +36.4% | -69.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.7% | -30.7% | +189.2% | -1.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -10.3% | +78.0% | +23.3% | +29.4% |
Risk & Volatility
GDOT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GDOT is the less volatile stock with a 1.13 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than UPST's 2.96 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GDOT currently trades 82.0% from its 52-week high vs UPST's 33.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.13x | 2.72x | 1.30x | 2.96x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $15.41 | $100.00 | $71.93 | $87.30 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.05 | $42.09 | $45.78 | $23.96 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +82.0% | +67.4% | +77.4% | +33.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 66.5 | 63.1 | 45.9 | 42.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 497K | 5.3M | 1.4M | 4.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: GDOT as "Hold", AFRM as "Buy", OMF as "Buy", UPST as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 55.8% upside for UPST (target: $45) vs 19.9% for AFRM (target: $81). OMF is the only dividend payer here at 4.65% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $16.13 | $80.77 | $69.71 | $45.17 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 39 | 33 | 31 | 22 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — | +4.7% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | — | 0 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — | $2.59 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.1% | +2.4% | 0.0% |
GDOT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). OMF leads in 1 (Income & Cash Flow). 1 tied.
GDOT vs AFRM vs OMF vs UPST: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GDOT or AFRM or OMF or UPST a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is the stronger pick with 58. 9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 9. 1% for OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF). OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) offers the better valuation at 8. 5x trailing P/E (7. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) a "Buy" — based on 33 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GDOT or AFRM or OMF or UPST?
On trailing P/E, OneMain Holdings, Inc.
(OMF) is the cheapest at 8. 5x versus Affirm Holdings, Inc. at 449. 1x. On forward P/E, OneMain Holdings, Inc. is actually cheaper at 7. 5x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Upstart Holdings, Inc. wins at 1. 02x versus OneMain Holdings, Inc. 's 1. 92x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GDOT or AFRM or OMF or UPST?
Over the past 5 years, OneMain Holdings, Inc.
(OMF) delivered a total return of +36. 4%, compared to -71. 8% for Green Dot Corporation (GDOT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: OMF returned +189. 2% versus GDOT's -45. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GDOT or AFRM or OMF or UPST?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Green Dot Corporation (GDOT) is the lower-risk stock at 1.
13β versus Upstart Holdings, Inc. 's 2. 96β — meaning UPST is approximately 161% more volatile than GDOT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Green Dot Corporation (GDOT) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 7% versus 7% for OneMain Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GDOT or AFRM or OMF or UPST?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Upstart Holdings, Inc.
(UPST) is pulling ahead at 58. 9% versus 9. 1% for OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Upstart Holdings, Inc. grew EPS 131. 3% year-over-year, compared to -258. 0% for Green Dot Corporation. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GDOT or AFRM or OMF or UPST?
OneMain Holdings, Inc.
(OMF) is the more profitable company, earning 12. 5% net margin versus -4. 8% for Green Dot Corporation — meaning it keeps 12. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: OMF leads at 16. 0% versus -2. 7% for AFRM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — UPST leads at 95. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GDOT or AFRM or OMF or UPST more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 02x versus OneMain Holdings, Inc. 's 1. 92x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) trades at 7. 5x forward P/E versus 62. 5x for Affirm Holdings, Inc. — 54. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for UPST: 55. 8% to $45. 17.
08Which pays a better dividend — GDOT or AFRM or OMF or UPST?
In this comparison, OMF (4.
7% yield) pays a dividend. GDOT, AFRM, UPST do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GDOT or AFRM or OMF or UPST better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, OneMain Holdings, Inc.
(OMF) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (4. 7% yield, +189. 2% 10Y return). Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM) carries a higher beta of 2. 72 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (OMF: +189. 2%, AFRM: -30. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GDOT and AFRM and OMF and UPST?
These companies operate in different sectors (GDOT (Financial Services) and AFRM (Technology) and OMF (Financial Services) and UPST (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: GDOT is a small-cap high-growth stock; AFRM is a mid-cap high-growth stock; OMF is a small-cap deep-value stock; UPST is a small-cap high-growth stock. OMF pays a dividend while GDOT, AFRM, UPST do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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