Industrial - Machinery
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GTES vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
GTES vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Machinery | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $6.68B | $431.16B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $3.45B | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $249M | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 40.1% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | 13.9% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 16.3x | 40.1x |
| Total Debt | $2.51B | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $812M | $9.98B |
GTES vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Industrial Co… (GTES) | 100 | 261.1 | +161.1% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 771.4 | +671.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GTES vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GTES is the clearest fit if your priority is sleep-well-at-night and valuation efficiency.
- Lower volatility, beta 1.55, Low D/E 68.0%, current ratio 3.37x
- PEG 0.56 vs CAT's 1.43
- Lower P/E (16.3x vs 40.1x), PEG 0.56 vs 1.43
CAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 8 yrs, beta 1.54, yield 0.6%
- Rev growth 4.3%, EPS growth -14.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.4%
- 12.2% 10Y total return vs GTES's 41.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.3% revenue growth vs GTES's 1.0% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (16.3x vs 40.1x), PEG 0.56 vs 1.43 | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.3% margin vs GTES's 7.2% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.54 vs GTES's 1.55 | |
| Dividends | 0.6% yield; 8-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +190.7% vs GTES's +30.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs GTES's 3.5%, ROIC 15.9% vs 7.5% |
GTES vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GTES vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 20.5x GTES's $3.4B. CAT is the more profitable business, keeping 13.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GTES's 7.2%. On growth, CAT holds the edge at +22.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $3.4B | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $640M | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $249M | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $421M | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +40.1% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +13.9% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +7.2% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +12.2% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +0.4% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
GTES leads this category, winning 7 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 27.3x trailing earnings, GTES trades at a 44% valuation discount to CAT's 49.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GTES offers better value at 0.95x vs CAT's 1.75x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $6.7B | $431.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $8.4B | $464.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 27.33x | 49.21x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 16.31x | 40.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.95x | 1.75x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 11.29x | 34.48x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.94x | 6.38x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.85x | 20.39x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 16.50x | 41.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $7 for GTES. GTES carries lower financial leverage with a 0.68x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), GTES scores 8/9 vs CAT's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +6.8% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +3.5% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +7.5% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +8.5% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 8 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.68x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $1.7B | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $812M | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.5B | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 2.59x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAT five years ago would be worth $40,189 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $15,194 for GTES. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +190.7% total return vs GTES's +30.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 63.8% vs GTES's 23.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +18.9% | +55.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +30.5% | +190.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +87.6% | +339.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +51.9% | +301.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +41.8% | +1223.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +23.3% | +63.8% |
Risk & Volatility
CAT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAT is the less volatile stock with a 1.54 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GTES's 1.55 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. CAT currently trades 99.6% from its 52-week high vs GTES's 92.2% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.55x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $28.47 | $930.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $19.72 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +92.2% | +99.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 48.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.2M | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GTES as "Buy" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 17.5% upside for GTES (target: $31) vs -11.0% for CAT (target: $825). CAT is the only dividend payer here at 0.63% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $30.83 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 14 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +1.8% | +1.2% |
CAT leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). GTES leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
GTES vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GTES or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger pick with 4. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 1. 0% for Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES). Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) offers the better valuation at 27. 3x trailing P/E (16. 3x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) a "Buy" — based on 14 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GTES or CAT?
On trailing P/E, Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) is the cheapest at 27.
3x versus Caterpillar Inc. at 49. 2x. On forward P/E, Gates Industrial Corporation plc is actually cheaper at 16. 3x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Gates Industrial Corporation plc wins at 0. 56x versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 43x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GTES or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) delivered a total return of +301. 9%, compared to +51. 9% for Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1223% versus GTES's +41. 8%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GTES or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 54β versus Gates Industrial Corporation plc's 1. 55β — meaning GTES is approximately 0% more volatile than CAT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 68% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GTES or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is pulling ahead at 4. 3% versus 1. 0% for Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Gates Industrial Corporation plc grew EPS 29. 7% year-over-year, compared to -14. 6% for Caterpillar Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CAT leads at 4. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GTES or CAT?
Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 1% net margin versus 7. 3% for Gates Industrial Corporation plc — meaning it keeps 13. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAT leads at 16. 6% versus 15. 3% for GTES. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GTES leads at 40. 5%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GTES or CAT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 56x versus Caterpillar Inc. 's 1. 43x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) trades at 16. 3x forward P/E versus 40. 1x for Caterpillar Inc. — 23. 8x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GTES: 17. 5% to $30. 83.
08Which pays a better dividend — GTES or CAT?
In this comparison, CAT (0.
6% yield) pays a dividend. GTES does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is GTES or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +1223% 10Y return). Gates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) carries a higher beta of 1. 55 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAT: +1223%, GTES: +41. 8%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GTES and CAT?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
CAT pays a dividend while GTES does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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