Biotechnology
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GUTS vs NVAX
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Biotechnology
GUTS vs NVAX — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Biotechnology | Biotechnology |
| Market Cap | $115M | $1.50B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $0.00 | $596M |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-97M | $-88M |
| Gross Margin | — | 84.6% |
| Operating Margin | — | -11.2% |
| Forward P/E | — | 3.6x |
| Total Debt | $62M | $249M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $82M | $241M |
GUTS vs NVAX — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Feb 24 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fractyl Health, Inc… (GUTS) | 100 | 8.3 | -91.7% |
| Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) | 100 | 186.8 | +86.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GUTS vs NVAX
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
In this particular matchup, GUTS is outpaced on most metrics by others in the set.
NVAX carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 1 yrs, beta 2.11
- Rev growth 64.7%, EPS growth 306.5%, 3Y rev CAGR -11.1%
- -90.4% 10Y total return vs GUTS's -94.2%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 64.7% revenue growth vs GUTS's -100.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 2.11 vs GUTS's 2.15 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +55.1% vs GUTS's -50.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | -7.4% ROA vs GUTS's -102.2% |
GUTS vs NVAX — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
GUTS vs NVAX — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — GUTS and NVAX each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
NVAX and GUTS operate at a comparable scale, with $596M and $0 in trailing revenue. On growth, NVAX holds the edge at -79.1% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $0 | $596M |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$96M | -$47M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$97M | -$88M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$91M | -$96M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | — | +84.6% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | — | -11.2% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | — | -14.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | — | -16.1% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -100.0% | -79.1% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +100.0% | -102.0% |
Valuation Metrics
GUTS leads this category, winning 1 of 1 comparable metric.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $115M | $1.5B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $95M | $1.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.40x | 3.63x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 2.56x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | — | 1.34x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 6.00x | — |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
NVAX leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), NVAX scores 5/9 vs GUTS's 3/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -7.4% | — |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -102.2% | -7.4% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -11.2% | — |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -101.2% | +100.4% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 6.52x | — |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$20M | $8M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $82M | $241M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $62M | $249M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | — | -5.10x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
NVAX leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GUTS five years ago would be worth $582 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $524 for NVAX. Over the past 12 months, NVAX leads with a +55.1% total return vs GUTS's -50.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors NVAX at 7.4% vs GUTS's -61.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -66.8% | +29.5% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -50.5% | +55.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.2% | +23.9% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.2% | -94.8% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -94.2% | -90.4% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -61.2% | +7.4% |
Risk & Volatility
NVAX leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
NVAX is the less volatile stock with a 2.11 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GUTS's 2.15 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. NVAX currently trades 77.1% from its 52-week high vs GUTS's 24.7% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.15x | 2.11x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $3.03 | $11.97 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.38 | $5.80 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +24.7% | +77.1% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 69.0 | 64.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 1.9M | 4.4M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GUTS as "Buy" and NVAX as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 568.4% upside for GUTS (target: $5) vs 95.0% for NVAX (target: $18).
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $5.00 | $18.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 3 | 23 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 1 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.0% | +0.3% |
NVAX leads in 3 of 6 categories (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). GUTS leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 1 tied.
GUTS vs NVAX: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GUTS or NVAX a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the stronger pick with 64. 7% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -100. 0% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS). Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) offers the better valuation at 3. 6x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS) a "Buy" — based on 3 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — GUTS or NVAX?
Over the past 5 years, Fractyl Health, Inc.
Common Stock (GUTS) delivered a total return of -94. 2%, compared to -94. 8% for Novavax, Inc. (NVAX). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: NVAX returned -90. 4% versus GUTS's -94. 2%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — GUTS or NVAX?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the lower-risk stock at 2. 11β versus Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock's 2. 15β — meaning GUTS is approximately 2% more volatile than NVAX relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — GUTS or NVAX?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is pulling ahead at 64. 7% versus -100. 0% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Novavax, Inc. grew EPS 306. 5% year-over-year, compared to -14. 8% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — GUTS or NVAX?
Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the more profitable company, earning 39. 2% net margin versus 0. 0% for Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock — meaning it keeps 39. 2% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: NVAX leads at 50. 1% versus 0. 0% for GUTS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — NVAX leads at 93. 7%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — GUTS or NVAX?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is GUTS or NVAX better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Novavax, Inc.
(NVAX) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding. Fractyl Health, Inc. Common Stock (GUTS) carries a higher beta of 2. 15 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (NVAX: -90. 4%, GUTS: -94. 2%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between GUTS and NVAX?
Both stocks operate in the Healthcare sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GUTS is a small-cap quality compounder stock; NVAX is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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